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The Markets Have a Message: Don’t Believe This Rally

As risky assets have rebounded since mid-February, the havens to which investors rushed during the earlier panic haven’t had an equivalent selloff

Amid the epic recovery in risky assets since mid-February, one thing has been missing: an equivalent selloff of the havens to which investors rushed during the earlier panic. Instead of the usual reckless rally, this has been a very cautious comeback.

Some of the highest-risk assets chalked​up spectacular gains​during the recovery. The J.P. Morgan Emerging Markets Currency Index rose 8%, a gain matched in such a short time only once since the index was created in 2000. U.S. junk bonds leaped 8% in price, the biggest jump...

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