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Michael Singh
@
MichaelSinghDC
Washington, DC
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Managing Director at the Washington Institute; former Senior Director at the National Security Council. Senior advisor at WestExec Advisors.
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Michael Singh
@MichaelSinghDC
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7 Ιουν |
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The answer is not to avoid using coercive economic tools; on the contrary, they are valuable policy instruments in the right circumstances. But we should use them 1) in concert with other tools, and 2) in the service of realistic objectives. /End
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Michael Singh
@MichaelSinghDC
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7 Ιουν |
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What we're seeing, perhaps, is that a surplus of economic power is, just like a surplus of military power, a temptation or even invitation to overreach. 6/
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Michael Singh
@MichaelSinghDC
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7 Ιουν |
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Third, to some extent our growing reliance on economic coercion is a symptom of our disenchantment with other tools, both military and diplomatic. Economic tools seem to offer the ability to project power without really having to engage with the world. 5/
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Michael Singh
@MichaelSinghDC
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7 Ιουν |
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Not rigorously counting the costs of policies (and overestimating their benefit) makes us more vulnerable to problems of moral hazard and ends-means mismatches, which are these days rampant in national security policy. 4/
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Michael Singh
@MichaelSinghDC
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7 Ιουν |
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Second, I think we have not adequately pondered the cost of their extensive use, strategically and economically, or how that cost might compound when we deploy multiple overlapping sanctions regimes... 3/
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Michael Singh
@MichaelSinghDC
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7 Ιουν |
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First, we tend to overestimate the efficacy of coercive economic tools. There is a large body of research that generally counsels caution about what they can achieve. 2/
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Michael Singh
@MichaelSinghDC
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7 Ιουν |
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Another in a series of warnings about the United States' increasing reliance on sanctions and tariffs to project power. As someone who has devised sanctions and advocated their use, I have three notes of caution...1/ economist.com/leaders/2019/0…
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Michael Singh
@MichaelSinghDC
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6 Ιουν |
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Whatever differences we have w/Germany today, it was Merkel's CDU, under the leadership of Konrad Adenauer, which made the choice to throw Germany's lot in with the West after WW2 amid domestic opposition. In a sense this picture represents the strategic dividend of that choice. twitter.com/GovMikeHuckabe…
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Michael Singh
@MichaelSinghDC
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5 Ιουν |
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Congrats to my colleague and old friend David Schenker on being confirmed to what will be a very tough job twitter.com/robsatloff/sta…
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Michael Singh
@MichaelSinghDC
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3 Ιουν |
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I'm no more eager for war than @MichaelEOHanlon, but I'm skeptical of this strategy. It suggests a reliance on sanctions and tariffs unsupported by their historical performance. Successful policy requires a mix of tools - economic, military, and diplomatic. twitter.com/WSJopinion/sta…
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| Ο χρήστης Michael Singh έκανε Retweet | ||
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Jeremy "Jake Jortles" Hsu
@jeremyhsu
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1 Ιουν |
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What if the U.S.-China trade war leads China to restrict exports of rare earth elements used in smartphones, medical scanners, electric cars, and U.S. military aircraft? It's not as dire as you might think in the long run. scientificamerican.com/article/dont-p…
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| Ο χρήστης Michael Singh έκανε Retweet | ||
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Reuters Iran
@ReutersIran
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2 Ιουν |
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U.S. prepared to engage with Iran without pre-conditions: Pompeo reut.rs/2JQQ0bN
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Michael Singh
@MichaelSinghDC
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1 Ιουν |
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Vip, what is the evidence it isn't junk? Has it been successfully used in combat?
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Michael Singh
@MichaelSinghDC
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30 Μαΐ |
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I understand the message to be, as @laurnorman notes here, that trade with sanctioned entities or in sanctioned goods/services can be targeted regardless of the payment channel, not that INSTEX will be specifically targeted. twitter.com/laurnorman/sta…
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Michael Singh
@MichaelSinghDC
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30 Μαΐ |
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That's great... congrats!
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| Ο χρήστης Michael Singh έκανε Retweet | ||
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laurence norman
@laurnorman
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30 Μαΐ |
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Whatever Tsy officials wrote in May, US Hook today couldn’t have been clearer on INSTEX. Some quotes... “They have a fincl sector that is opaque by design….they don’t’ want people to follow the money and it’s been that way for 40 years. So I am sceptical that Iran will ever..”-1
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| Ο χρήστης Michael Singh έκανε Retweet | ||
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Ladane Nasseri
@LadaneNasseri
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30 Μαΐ |
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***SCOOP***
Russia rejected #Iran's request to buy S-400 missile defense systems,
two people with knowledge of the matter tell @business @ZainabFattah @world_reporter
bloom.bg/2wuPJTc
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| Ο χρήστης Michael Singh έκανε Retweet | ||
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laurence norman
@laurnorman
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30 Μαΐ |
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A small gesture to China, India and perhaps even Tehran amid efforts to cool tensions? US Hook says countries granted waivers in Nov can buy Iran oil until they hit agreed caps. Waivers expired early May. wsj.com/articles/u-s-l…
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Michael Singh
@MichaelSinghDC
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28 Μαΐ |
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In my view, conservatives would be well-served to pivot from debating the facts/science of climate change to debating the best policies to deal with it. nyti.ms/2YQAnEA
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Michael Singh
@MichaelSinghDC
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27 Μαΐ |
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1) It strikes me as reading too much into his remarks to suggest that he's disavowing Sec. Pompeo's 12 demands; 2) I'm skeptical of his assertion that Iran can be "great" under its current leadership, which does more to inhibit than harness the potential of Iranians.
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