Monsanto Co (MON) Stock Analysis

MON- NYSE (USA) Also traded in: Argentina, Germany, Mexico
Monsanto Co

Currently 3.5/5

Business Predictability Rank: 3.5-Star
Back Testing Results:
Average gain of all 3.5-Star stocks: 9.3% per year.
% of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 9%.
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$107.53

0(0%) Volume: 1,184,107 1:01AM EST

Avg Vol (1m): 1,938,451

Warning! GuruFocus has detected 1 Severe Warning Sign with MON. Click here to check it out.

Market Cap	47.16 B	P/E(ttm)	29.05
Enterprise Value	53.36 B	P/B	10.73

$107.53 (1y: +23%)

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Also traded in: Argentina, Germany, Mexico

Financial Strength : 5/10

		vs industry	vs history
Cash to Debt	0.25	MON's Cash to Debt is ranked lower than 63% of the 218 Companies in the Global Agricultural Inputs industry. ( Industry Median: 0.45 vs. MON: 0.25 ) Ranked among companies with meaningful Cash to Debt only.	MON' s Cash to Debt Range Over the Past 10 Years Min: 0.06 Med: 0.59 Max: N/A Current: 0.25
Equity to Asset	0.21	MON's Equity to Asset is ranked lower than 86% of the 211 Companies in the Global Agricultural Inputs industry. ( Industry Median: 0.49 vs. MON: 0.21 ) Ranked among companies with meaningful Equity to Asset only.	MON' s Equity to Asset Range Over the Past 10 Years Min: 0.17 Med: 0.57 Max: 0.66 Current: 0.21 0.17 - 0.66
Interest Coverage	6.53	MON's Interest Coverage is ranked lower than 70% of the 182 Companies in the Global Agricultural Inputs industry. ( Industry Median: 45.68 vs. MON: 6.53 ) Ranked among companies with meaningful Interest Coverage only.	MON' s Interest Coverage Range Over the Past 10 Years Min: 5.45 Med: 15.94 Max: 24.74 Current: 6.53 5.45 - 24.74

F-Score: 6
Z-Score: 3.69
M-Score: -2.66
WACC vs ROIC	9.23% 14.93% WACC ROIC

Profitability & Growth : 8/10

		vs industry	vs history
Operating margin (%)	20.77	MON's Operating margin (%) is ranked higher than 87% of the 214 Companies in the Global Agricultural Inputs industry. ( Industry Median: 4.92 vs. MON: 20.77 ) Ranked among companies with meaningful Operating margin (%) only.	MON' s Operating margin (%) Range Over the Past 10 Years Min: 15.29 Med: 23.4 Max: 26.2 Current: 20.77 15.29 - 26.2
Net-margin (%)	11.61	MON's Net-margin (%) is ranked higher than 84% of the 215 Companies in the Global Agricultural Inputs industry. ( Industry Median: 3.93 vs. MON: 11.61 ) Ranked among companies with meaningful Net-margin (%) only.	MON' s Net-margin (%) Range Over the Past 10 Years Min: 9.89 Med: 15.29 Max: 17.9 Current: 11.61 9.89 - 17.9
ROE (%)	37.18	MON's ROE (%) is ranked higher than 92% of the 214 Companies in the Global Agricultural Inputs industry. ( Industry Median: 6.86 vs. MON: 37.18 ) Ranked among companies with meaningful ROE (%) only.	MON' s ROE (%) Range Over the Past 10 Years Min: 10.9 Med: 20.95 Max: 37.18 Current: 37.18 10.9 - 37.18
ROA (%)	7.94	MON's ROA (%) is ranked higher than 77% of the 221 Companies in the Global Agricultural Inputs industry. ( Industry Median: 2.97 vs. MON: 7.94 ) Ranked among companies with meaningful ROA (%) only.	MON' s ROA (%) Range Over the Past 10 Years Min: 6.14 Med: 10.39 Max: 13.07 Current: 7.94 6.14 - 13.07
ROC (Joel Greenblatt) (%)	41.53	MON's ROC (Joel Greenblatt) (%) is ranked higher than 89% of the 220 Companies in the Global Agricultural Inputs industry. ( Industry Median: 11.55 vs. MON: 41.53 ) Ranked among companies with meaningful ROC (Joel Greenblatt) (%) only.	MON' s ROC (Joel Greenblatt) (%) Range Over the Past 10 Years Min: 26.94 Med: 49.72 Max: 67.67 Current: 41.53 26.94 - 67.67
Revenue Growth (3Y)(%)	3.10	MON's Revenue Growth (3Y)(%) is ranked higher than 59% of the 184 Companies in the Global Agricultural Inputs industry. ( Industry Median: 1.10 vs. MON: 3.10 ) Ranked among companies with meaningful Revenue Growth (3Y)(%) only.	MON' s Revenue Growth (3Y)(%) Range Over the Past 10 Years Min: -15.5 Med: 8.2 Max: 25.8 Current: 3.1 -15.5 - 25.8
EBITDA Growth (3Y)(%)	-3.30	MON's EBITDA Growth (3Y)(%) is ranked lower than 67% of the 166 Companies in the Global Agricultural Inputs industry. ( Industry Median: 6.60 vs. MON: -3.30 ) Ranked among companies with meaningful EBITDA Growth (3Y)(%) only.	MON' s EBITDA Growth (3Y)(%) Range Over the Past 10 Years Min: -31.6 Med: 7 Max: 67.6 Current: -3.3 -31.6 - 67.6
EPS Growth (3Y)(%)	-13.60	MON's EPS Growth (3Y)(%) is ranked lower than 71% of the 150 Companies in the Global Agricultural Inputs industry. ( Industry Median: 0.80 vs. MON: -13.60 ) Ranked among companies with meaningful EPS Growth (3Y)(%) only.	MON' s EPS Growth (3Y)(%) Range Over the Past 10 Years Min: -17.6 Med: 7.9 Max: 123.9 Current: -13.6 -17.6 - 123.9

GuruFocus has detected 4 Warning Signs with Monsanto Co $MON.

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Financials (Next Earnings Date: 2017-04-05)

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Guru Trades

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Business Description

Industry:	Agriculture » Agricultural Inputs NAICS: 325320 SIC: 2879
Compare:	NYSE:SYT, NYSE:DD, NYSE:POT, NYSE:AGU, OTCPK:YRAIF, NYSE:MOS, NYSE:CF, NYSE:ICL, NYSE:SMG, OTCPK:KPLUY, OTCPK:ICPVF, NYSE:TNH, NYSE:UAN, NYSE:AVD, NYSE:IPI, NAS:AGFS, NAS:RTK, NAS:MBII, NYSE:CGA, NAS:RKDA » details
Traded in other countries:	MON.Argentina, MOO.Germany, MO N.Mexico,

Monsanto Co along with its subsidiaries provides agricultural products for farmers. Its seeds, biotechnology traits, herbicides and precision agriculture products provide farmers with solutions that improve productivity.

Monsanto Co was incorporated in Delaware on February 9, 2000, as a subsidiary of Pharmacia Corporation. The Company is a provider of agricultural products for farmers. It offers corn, soybean, cotton, wheat, canola, sorghum and sugar cane seeds. Its segments are Seeds and Genomics and Agricultural Productivity. Through its Seeds and Genomics segment, it produces seed brands, including DEKALB, Asgrow, Deltapine, Seminis and De Ruiter, and it develop biotechnology traits that assist farmers in controlling insects and weeds and precision agriculture products to assist farmers in decision making. It also provides other seed companies with genetic material for their seed brands. Its seed competitors in row crops are also licensees of its germplasm or biotechnology traits and a few of its vegetable seed business competitors have licensed biotech traits for sweet corn or genetic improvements through breeding. In certain countries, it also competes with government-owned seed companies. Its biotechnology traits compete as a system with other practices, including the application of agricultural chemicals, and traits developed by other companies. Its weed- and insect-control systems compete with chemical and seed products produced by other agrichemical and seed marketers. Competition for the discovery of new traits based on biotechnology or genomics is likely to come from agrichemical companies, smaller biotechnology research companies and institutions, state-funded programs and academic institutions. Through its Agricultural Productivity segment, it manufactures Roundup brand herbicides and other herbicides and provides lawn-and-garden herbicide products for the residential market. It competes with numerous manufacturing companies for sales of agricultural herbicides.

Guru Investment Theses on Monsanto Co

Weitz Funds Comments on Monsanto - Jul 20, 2016

Monsanto (NYSE:MON) is a provider of seeds and biotech traits for corn, soybeans and cotton. Bayer, a German Life Sciences company, proposed acquiring Monsanto in the second quarter in what is a rapidly consolidating agricultural seeds and chemicals sector. Monsanto ultimately rejected Bayer’s initial offer of $122 per share as financially inadequate, but discussions remain ongoing. We have long viewed Monsanto as the highest quality franchise in agriculture, a view validated by Bayer’s acquisition proposal. The company’s earnings power is currently facing a number of headwinds, including currency effects, low commodity prices, regulatory delays and longer product introduction cycles. Nevertheless, we view its technology and research & development pipeline as second-to-none, which should allow it to create double-digit earnings growth from 2017 through 2019.

From Weitz Value Fund's Value second quarter 2016 commentary.

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Wallace Weitz Comments on Monsanto - Jan 22, 2016

Monsanto (NYSE:MON) is a provider of seeds and biotech traits for corn, soybeans and cotton. At the company’s November investor meeting, the company provided a road map for double-digit growth over the next several years. We believe they are capable of making this happen. Despite not yet participating in the latest round of industry consolidation, Monsanto is still the best positioned seed company in the industry due its significant portfolio of intellectual property and cutting edge breeding and testing capabilities.

From Wallace Weitz (Trades, Portfolio)'s fourth quarter 2015 Value Fund commentary.

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Bill Nygren Comments on Monsanto Co - Jul 09, 2015

During the quarter we added two new positions to the Fund, Monsanto (MON) and Fiat Chrysler, and eliminated Medtronic because its share price appreciated towards our estimate of intrinsic value.

We believe Monsanto (MON) is a very high quality company with above average growth prospects and an exceptionally strong competitive position in a large and consolidated industry. Low corn prices, challenges in valuing the company’s biotech pipeline, and the difficulty of quantifying upside from precision agriculture have caused Monsanto to sell for materially less than our estimate of its intrinsic business value. Management has been smart about capital allocation, both by repurchasing shares using cheap fixed-cost long-term debt and by attempting to purchase Syngenta at a price that should produce a strong return for shareholders, and in our view both Monsanto’s technological advantages and end markets are likely to grow.

From Bill Nygren (Trades, Portfolio)'s Oakmark Select Fund Second Quarter 2015 Commentary.

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Ratios

		vs industry	vs history
P/E(ttm)	29.05	MON's P/E(ttm) is ranked lower than 65% of the 165 Companies in the Global Agricultural Inputs industry. ( Industry Median: 21.45 vs. MON: 29.05 ) Ranked among companies with meaningful P/E(ttm) only.	MON' s P/E(ttm) Range Over the Past 10 Years Min: 16.24 Med: 25.06 Max: 58.22 Current: 29.05 16.24 - 58.22
Forward P/E	23.31	MON's Forward P/E is ranked lower than 79% of the 19 Companies in the Global Agricultural Inputs industry. ( Industry Median: 18.98 vs. MON: 23.31 ) Ranked among companies with meaningful Forward P/E only.	N/A
PE(NRI)	29.37	MON's PE(NRI) is ranked lower than 65% of the 164 Companies in the Global Agricultural Inputs industry. ( Industry Median: 21.71 vs. MON: 29.37 ) Ranked among companies with meaningful PE(NRI) only.	MON' s PE(NRI) Range Over the Past 10 Years Min: 16.44 Med: 25.35 Max: 62.83 Current: 29.37 16.44 - 62.83
Price/Owner Earnings (ttm)	32.73	MON's Price/Owner Earnings (ttm) is ranked lower than 62% of the 89 Companies in the Global Agricultural Inputs industry. ( Industry Median: 19.05 vs. MON: 32.73 ) Ranked among companies with meaningful Price/Owner Earnings (ttm) only.	MON' s Price/Owner Earnings (ttm) Range Over the Past 10 Years Min: 13.91 Med: 26.8 Max: 476.53 Current: 32.73 13.91 - 476.53
P/B	10.73	MON's P/B is ranked lower than 95% of the 210 Companies in the Global Agricultural Inputs industry. ( Industry Median: 1.93 vs. MON: 10.73 ) Ranked among companies with meaningful P/B only.	MON' s P/B Range Over the Past 10 Years Min: 2.38 Med: 4.29 Max: 12.28 Current: 10.73 2.38 - 12.28
P/S	3.46	MON's P/S is ranked lower than 78% of the 206 Companies in the Global Agricultural Inputs industry. ( Industry Median: 1.21 vs. MON: 3.46 ) Ranked among companies with meaningful P/S only.	MON' s P/S Range Over the Past 10 Years Min: 2.46 Med: 3.65 Max: 7.56 Current: 3.46 2.46 - 7.56
PFCF	28.19	MON's PFCF is ranked lower than 65% of the 57 Companies in the Global Agricultural Inputs industry. ( Industry Median: 16.59 vs. MON: 28.19 ) Ranked among companies with meaningful PFCF only.	MON' s PFCF Range Over the Past 10 Years Min: 12.09 Med: 27.65 Max: 361.63 Current: 28.19 12.09 - 361.63
POCF	17.89	MON's POCF is ranked lower than 77% of the 70 Companies in the Global Agricultural Inputs industry. ( Industry Median: 9.96 vs. MON: 17.89 ) Ranked among companies with meaningful POCF only.	MON' s POCF Range Over the Past 10 Years Min: 9.57 Med: 18.64 Max: 68.61 Current: 17.89 9.57 - 68.61
EV-to-EBIT	18.31	MON's EV-to-EBIT is ranked lower than 56% of the 176 Companies in the Global Agricultural Inputs industry. ( Industry Median: 16.15 vs. MON: 18.31 ) Ranked among companies with meaningful EV-to-EBIT only.	MON' s EV-to-EBIT Range Over the Past 10 Years Min: 11.3 Med: 17.3 Max: 38.9 Current: 18.31 11.3 - 38.9
EV-to-EBITDA	14.63	MON's EV-to-EBITDA is ranked lower than 56% of the 177 Companies in the Global Agricultural Inputs industry. ( Industry Median: 13.16 vs. MON: 14.63 ) Ranked among companies with meaningful EV-to-EBITDA only.	MON' s EV-to-EBITDA Range Over the Past 10 Years Min: 9.5 Med: 14 Max: 29.6 Current: 14.63 9.5 - 29.6
PEG	5.50	MON's PEG is ranked lower than 72% of the 86 Companies in the Global Agricultural Inputs industry. ( Industry Median: 2.45 vs. MON: 5.50 ) Ranked among companies with meaningful PEG only.	MON' s PEG Range Over the Past 10 Years Min: 0.45 Med: 1.88 Max: 15.98 Current: 5.5 0.45 - 15.98
Shiller P/E	28.30	MON's Shiller P/E is ranked lower than 53% of the 51 Companies in the Global Agricultural Inputs industry. ( Industry Median: 26.32 vs. MON: 28.30 ) Ranked among companies with meaningful Shiller P/E only.	MON' s Shiller P/E Range Over the Past 10 Years Min: 23.41 Med: 38.2 Max: 60.93 Current: 28.3 23.41 - 60.93
Current Ratio	1.29	MON's Current Ratio is ranked lower than 63% of the 210 Companies in the Global Agricultural Inputs industry. ( Industry Median: 1.66 vs. MON: 1.29 ) Ranked among companies with meaningful Current Ratio only.	MON' s Current Ratio Range Over the Past 10 Years Min: 1.21 Med: 2.06 Max: 3.08 Current: 1.29 1.21 - 3.08
Quick Ratio	0.78	MON's Quick Ratio is ranked lower than 66% of the 210 Companies in the Global Agricultural Inputs industry. ( Industry Median: 1.05 vs. MON: 0.78 ) Ranked among companies with meaningful Quick Ratio only.	MON' s Quick Ratio Range Over the Past 10 Years Min: 0.73 Med: 1.38 Max: 2.22 Current: 0.78 0.73 - 2.22
Days Inventory	200.66	MON's Days Inventory is ranked lower than 90% of the 207 Companies in the Global Agricultural Inputs industry. ( Industry Median: 94.55 vs. MON: 200.66 ) Ranked among companies with meaningful Days Inventory only.	MON' s Days Inventory Range Over the Past 10 Years Min: 146.5 Med: 165.28 Max: 200.66 Current: 200.66 146.5 - 200.66
Days Sales Outstanding	57.53	MON's Days Sales Outstanding is ranked higher than 52% of the 191 Companies in the Global Agricultural Inputs industry. ( Industry Median: 62.57 vs. MON: 57.53 ) Ranked among companies with meaningful Days Sales Outstanding only.	MON' s Days Sales Outstanding Range Over the Past 10 Years Min: 39.81 Med: 51.67 Max: 66.38 Current: 57.53 39.81 - 66.38
Days Payable	59.72	MON's Days Payable is ranked lower than 51% of the 178 Companies in the Global Agricultural Inputs industry. ( Industry Median: 60.77 vs. MON: 59.72 ) Ranked among companies with meaningful Days Payable only.	MON' s Days Payable Range Over the Past 10 Years Min: 44.75 Med: 52 Max: 76.69 Current: 59.72 44.75 - 76.69

Dividend & Buy Back

		vs industry	vs history
Dividend Yield	2.00	MON's Dividend Yield is ranked lower than 58% of the 223 Companies in the Global Agricultural Inputs industry. ( Industry Median: 2.43 vs. MON: 2.00 ) Ranked among companies with meaningful Dividend Yield only.	MON' s Dividend Yield Range Over the Past 10 Years Min: 0.46 Med: 1.42 Max: 2.4 Current: 2 0.46 - 2.4
Dividend Payout	0.60	MON's Dividend Payout is ranked lower than 64% of the 135 Companies in the Global Agricultural Inputs industry. ( Industry Median: 0.38 vs. MON: 0.60 ) Ranked among companies with meaningful Dividend Payout only.	MON' s Dividend Payout Range Over the Past 10 Years Min: 0.21 Med: 0.33 Max: 0.73 Current: 0.6 0.21 - 0.73
Dividend Growth (3y)	12.90	MON's Dividend Growth (3y) is ranked higher than 64% of the 113 Companies in the Global Agricultural Inputs industry. ( Industry Median: 3.20 vs. MON: 12.90 ) Ranked among companies with meaningful Dividend Growth (3y) only.	MON' s Dividend Growth (3y) Range Over the Past 10 Years Min: 0 Med: 15.4 Max: 75.9 Current: 12.9 0 - 75.9
Forward Dividend Yield	2.01	MON's Forward Dividend Yield is ranked lower than 56% of the 216 Companies in the Global Agricultural Inputs industry. ( Industry Median: 2.16 vs. MON: 2.01 ) Ranked among companies with meaningful Forward Dividend Yield only.	N/A
Yield on cost (5-Year)	4.02	MON's Yield on cost (5-Year) is ranked higher than 61% of the 271 Companies in the Global Agricultural Inputs industry. ( Industry Median: 3.01 vs. MON: 4.02 ) Ranked among companies with meaningful Yield on cost (5-Year) only.	MON' s Yield on cost (5-Year) Range Over the Past 10 Years Min: 0.93 Med: 2.86 Max: 4.83 Current: 4.02 0.93 - 4.83
3-Year Average Share Buyback Ratio	6.10	MON's 3-Year Average Share Buyback Ratio is ranked higher than 98% of the 98 Companies in the Global Agricultural Inputs industry. ( Industry Median: -3.70 vs. MON: 6.10 ) Ranked among companies with meaningful 3-Year Average Share Buyback Ratio only.	MON' s 3-Year Average Share Buyback Ratio Range Over the Past 10 Years Min: -1.2 Med: -0.1 Max: 6.1 Current: 6.1 -1.2 - 6.1

Valuation & Return

		vs industry	vs history
Price/Projected FCF	2.04	MON's Price/Projected FCF is ranked lower than 56% of the 81 Companies in the Global Agricultural Inputs industry. ( Industry Median: 1.53 vs. MON: 2.04 ) Ranked among companies with meaningful Price/Projected FCF only.	MON' s Price/Projected FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years Min: 1.16 Med: 1.97 Max: 3.75 Current: 2.04 1.16 - 3.75
Price/DCF (Earnings Based)	1.95	MON's Price/DCF (Earnings Based) is ranked lower than 86% of the 14 Companies in the Global Agricultural Inputs industry. ( Industry Median: 0.96 vs. MON: 1.95 ) Ranked among companies with meaningful Price/DCF (Earnings Based) only.	N/A
Price/Median PS Value	0.94	MON's Price/Median PS Value is ranked higher than 75% of the 192 Companies in the Global Agricultural Inputs industry. ( Industry Median: 1.19 vs. MON: 0.94 ) Ranked among companies with meaningful Price/Median PS Value only.	MON' s Price/Median PS Value Range Over the Past 10 Years Min: 0.2 Med: 0.9 Max: 1.81 Current: 0.94 0.2 - 1.81
Earnings Yield (Greenblatt) (%)	5.44	MON's Earnings Yield (Greenblatt) (%) is ranked higher than 54% of the 216 Companies in the Global Agricultural Inputs industry. ( Industry Median: 4.80 vs. MON: 5.44 ) Ranked among companies with meaningful Earnings Yield (Greenblatt) (%) only.	MON' s Earnings Yield (Greenblatt) (%) Range Over the Past 10 Years Min: 2.6 Med: 5.8 Max: 8.9 Current: 5.44 2.6 - 8.9
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) (%)	5.60	MON's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) (%) is ranked higher than 50% of the 112 Companies in the Global Agricultural Inputs industry. ( Industry Median: 5.60 vs. MON: 5.60 ) Ranked among companies with meaningful Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) (%) only.	MON' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) (%) Range Over the Past 10 Years Min: 5.6 Med: 19.4 Max: 43.5 Current: 5.6 5.6 - 43.5

More Statistics

Revenue (TTM) (Mil) $	13,933
EPS (TTM) $	3.70
Beta	1.05
Short Percentage of Float	0.95%
52-Week Range $	83.73 - 114.26
Shares Outstanding (Mil)	438.55

Analyst Estimate

	Aug17	Aug18	Aug19
Revenue (Mil $)	14,104	14,730	15,898
EPS ($)	4.64	7.72	6.40
EPS w/o NRI ($)	4.64	7.72	6.40
EPS Growth Rate (3Y to 5Y Estimate)	20.70%
Dividends Per Share ($)	2.34	2.58	2.81

» More Articles for MON

Headlines

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Warren Buffett's Financial Engineering Nov 15 2016

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Ruane Cunniff Cuts Allergan, Berkshire, IBM Sep 26 2016

Will the Monsanto-Bayer Deal Go Through? Sep 20 2016

Monsanto Agrees to Bayer’s Proposal Sep 15 2016

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