These researchers could have saved themselves a lot of effort by just uploading Nabih Berri to a computer
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Gregg Carlstrom
@glcarlstrom
Middle East correspondent, . Author, 'How Long Will Israel Survive? The Threat From Within.'
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"Given the cap is above market rates, Moscow may be able to claim it can just keep selling oil as usual."
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These threats take a heavy toll on their targets, but they are fundamentally a sign of weakness and insecurity on the part of the Iranian regime: more and more determined to lash out abroad because it feels more and more vulnerable and threatened at home.
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"The ultra-Orthodox are predicted to rise from around 12% of the population today to 25% by 2050. Without serious education reform, Israel could become a country where people know their Book of Numbers, but not their numbers or their books."
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A handshake in Tel Aviv tonight between the UAE's ambassador to Israel and Itamar Ben-Gvir, the hard-right extremist tipped to become Israel's "minister for national security"
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לחיצת יד חמה במיוחד בין איתמר בן גביר לבין שגריר איחוד האמירויות בישראל, מוחמד אל-חאג׳ה.
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"Economists and regulators warned it was a gamble, but punters still paid high fees to own an illiquid currency that some thought might just become the most valuable in the world."
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Time to reset the "days since last assassination of divinely-chosen leader meant to lead apocalyptic battle that will birth a new world" sign
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Turns out the guy who refused to condemn neo-Nazis, suggested that Jews control politicians and the media and often described American Jews as more loyal to Israel ("your country") than the United States may not be good for the Jews. Who would have thought
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"To paraphrase Mike Tyson, everyone has a great plan until they get punched in the face—and, facing setbacks on the battlefield, Putin is pulling no punches right now. The price-cap's first contact with reality could be rough."
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Nice piece by on the state of Saudi-Qatari relations, which warmed faster than those with Bahrain or the UAE but aren't what they were: "Some Saudis are concerned about voicing support for Qatar, wary that what was fixed could break again."
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Ten days after Riad Salameh announced that the Lebanese central bank would switch (in February) to a fictitious exchange rate of 15,000, the lira is trading 63% below that level, at a record low.
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Would seem like another sign that OPEC+ is going to take a wait-and-see approach, until the effects of the Russian price cap become clear, rather than make any dramatic changes over the weekend
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"A flurry of initial public offerings in Dubai this year promised to revive the city's trading volumes and help deepen capital markets. Now, the majority of those newly listed shares are trading below their IPO price."
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The business plan is that, by decade's end, Riyadh will quadruple its annual air traffic (compared to pre-pandemic levels), become a significantly bigger hub than Dubai is today and handle more passengers than the world's busiest airports currently do. Which, I mean, good luck
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And thus did another group of consultants secure a nice payday by taking a concept that Dubai executed well, scaling it up to ginormous, dubious proportions and pitching it to a PIF that is addicted to "Dubai, but bigger"
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Basically someone wanted an excuse for a free trip to come watch the Iran-USA match tonight
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#Iran’s DepFM and chief negotiator @Bagheri_Kani has arrived in Doha at the invitation of his Qatari counterpart to discuss bilateral, regional and international issues.
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"With pressure building on many fronts, leaders in Beijing must contend with the notion that they will eventually lose control of both the virus and public patience."
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Funny, wild tale of how you rent a crowd: "Young Lebanese fans were offered an extraordinary deal: free flights, accommodations, match tickets and food, plus a small stipend, to bring some ultra culture to Qatar's World Cup games."
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"Chinese netizens have pointed to the football World Cup, where mask-less fans throng stadiums in Qatar. State censors have responded by sharply reducing the number of crowd shots shown during state television's coverage of the tournament."
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Was rooting for Saudi but honestly, kudos to the Polish goalkeeper, haven't seen anyone impose such a tight blockade in Qatar since June 2017
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OPEC needs to tell Poland to cut its production of yellow cards in this match before it runs out of spare capacity #KSAPOL
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"Another soldier was filmed telling the group: '[Itamar] Ben-Gvir is going to bring order to this place. That's it, you've had it, the fun is over.'"
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#BREAKING: Iran national team sings the national anthem in their second match at #WorldcupQatar2022 after declining to sing the first time.
Many anti-govt Iranian fans here told us they’d hoped the team would take the knee instead.
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Erdogan and Sisi are making up with each other and settling into a friendly competition to see which one can turn his country into a bigger bottomless pit of external-financing needs
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Listen, yes, Riad Salameh didn't name the auditing firm, provide a copy of its report or reveal exactly what quantity of gold it found in BdL's vaults, but I think the man has earned some trust at this point. الذهب بالف خير
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This is a perennial problem in Jeddah, and one that keeps happening despite billions of dollars supposedly being spent to upgrade the drainage infrastructure (you can take a guess what's happened to some of that money over the years)
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A paranoid regime, rounding up footballers during the World Cup: "The player, Voria Ghafouri, is a former member of Iran's national squad and a frequent critic of the government... the charges included 'spreading propaganda against' the Islamic republic."
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The administration made early missteps on the JCPOA, but this state of affairs is now really the fault of an Iran that balked at re-entering the deal, ramped up uranium enrichment to 60%, sold drones to Russia and started shooting loads of innocent people.
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Something tells me the idea of a "reformist"-led "dialogue among divided Iranians" is much too little, much too late
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What could possibly go wrong: Netanyahu will hand his hard-right coalition partner authority over the Civil Administration, which oversees construction, infrastructure and security coordination in the occupied West Bank.
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There is probably a whole team of government officials in Riyadh brainstorming ways to make this summit look friendlier and more productive than Biden's visit to Jeddah (the latter, admittedly, is a low bar to clear)
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"What has been stewing for eight months is liable to boil over into a broader confrontation, due to the new combination of circumstances: the PA is weakening, local terror cells are cropping up and a purely right-wing government is about to come to power."
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A good rule to follow, and not only in Turkey: "The more funding Erdoğan can source from the Saudis and Russia, the less pressure he will be under to abandon his ruinous economic policies. These will eventually hurt backers of every stripe."
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Police in Iran have been using ambulances to infiltrate rallies and detain protesters: "People don't feel safe to go to urgent care or hospitals. They know that forces are waiting for them to capture them."
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Seems slightly paradoxical to have a "special representative for Palestinian affairs" when you have no real policies vis-a-vis the Palestinians
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Has Belgium even taken a shot in this match? Someone in Brussels should be drafting a statement about how the EU is deeply concerned with this performance
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Fun story on Turkish media today:
Sisi courted Erdogan for a meeting by sending boxes of Egyptian mango juice to Ankara
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"Just days before the US and European Union impose fresh sanctions on Russian energy — supposedly the strongest thus far — Moscow has lifted its oil output to the highest level since its invasion of Ukraine."
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Shouldn't be a surprise that OPEC is discussing whether this will be necessary (oil markets are in a weird place!). But hard to imagine them doing it at the next meeting, rather than holding off a bit to see the impact of the Russian price-cap mechanism.
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Itamar Ben-Gvir, likely to be minister in charge of the police: "We have to renew targeted assassinations and make them pay. All security prisons must shut down with nobody coming or leaving, and we have to stop all payments to the Palestinian Authority."
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