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Kyle Kondik
Managing Editor, Sabato's Crystal Ball, UVA Center for Politics. Author of The Bellwether: Why Ohio Picks the President (Ohio U Press)
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Kyle Kondik 19 分鐘
For California Republicans, 2020 could be worse than 2018 | The Sacramento Bee
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Jerry Zremski 11月21日
Breaking: Changing course, will back for House speaker
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David Montgomery 11月21日
Per my analysis, 53.7% of Mississippi residents live in very-low-density tracts, the 4th-highest rate behind Vermont, Maine and WV. 36% in low-density tracts (exurban). 10% medium-density. It’s the only state without a single high-density tract.
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Richard M. Nixon 11月20日
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Kyle Kondik 11月21日
as David writes: "And Doug Jones, who was one of the better Democratic recruits of the last few years, only managed to beat Moore—one of the worst candidates to win a state-wide major party nomination in our lifetimes—by 1.6 points."
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Kyle Kondik 11月21日
good piece. A key difference btwn Alabama and this race is that while Cindy Hyde-Smith has been dreadful, Roy Moore might've been the worst Senate candidate in a high-profile Senate race in recent history (and that's saying something)
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Richard Skinner 11月21日
Whitmer did well there, too. What’s going on in the land of Gerald Ford?
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J. Miles Coleman 11月21日
is north of Austin (Williamson & Bell counties) and went to Trump by 13%. O'Rourke only missed it by 2% in . For Congress, M. J. Hegar (D) ran just slightly worse, giving Rep. John Carter (R) the closest race of his career. The maps are almost identical.
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Kyle Kondik 11月21日
Kent County, MI (Grand Rapids) appears to be getting less Republican. Clinton almost carried it in 2016, Stabenow barely did while winning statewide by 6.5 pts; she didn't carry it 6 years ago when she was winning statewide by 21
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Robert Draper 11月21日
When Pelosi first joined Congress in 1987, GOP had 12 congresswomen. Today: 13. This is more than just a bad look. It's a bad attitude.
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Nate Cohn 11月21日
The result in UT-04 clinches IA-03 as the closest of our final polls, at least by simple margin. Very close though!
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Rachel Bitecofer 📈🔭🗿💪 11月21日
Tune in next to this important documentary by
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Kyle Kondik 11月21日
New documentary CHARLOTTESVILLE on last year's neo-Nazi march debuts at 9 pm on PBS stations in Central Virginia or to anyone online. More info and link to 9 p.m. livestream here:
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J. Miles Coleman 11月21日
Huh, Mia Love lost both times she was on the ballot with Romney.
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Center for Politics 11月20日
Connect to Facebook Live tonight at 9PM for the live stream of "CHARLOTTESVILLE":
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Craig Caplan 11月20日
. will NOT run for House Speaker against Pelosi: “I am now confident we will move forward together and that the 117th Congress will be a Congress of which we can all be proud. I now join my colleagues in support of the leadership team of Pelosi, Hoyer and Clyburn.”
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Larry Sabato 11月20日
The 2-hour documentary "CHARLOTTESVILLE" will stream live tonight (Tuesday Nov 20) at 9PM. Link below.
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Anne Rumsey Gearan 11月20日
Bottom line from Trump done-and-dusted statement on MBS and Khashoggi: The killing was bad but the relationship is worth more; MBS may have been responsible but Trump will not approve further punishment.
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Jonathan Martin 11月20日
The Trump Doctrine is entirely predictable: he attacks those who criticize him, no matter their standing (McRaven, Khans, LeVar Ball, Rosie); and he embraces those who flatter him, no matter who they are (Putin, Kim, Don King, Roy Moore). How are folks surprised at this pt?
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Kyle Kondik 11月20日
the Likely Republican rating from pre-election applies to the runoff too.
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