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Bobby Duffy
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BobbyDuffyKings
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Professor of Public Policy and Director of the Policy Institute, King's College London. Author of The Perils of Perception with Ipsos bit.ly/perils-book
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Lisa Nandy
@lisanandy
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17 Std. |
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.@anandMenon1 really impressive on #BBCQT. Calm, measured but clearly really knows his stuff. We need more of this in the #Brexit debate
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The Policy Institute
@policyatkings
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17. Jan. |
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Great to see @KingsCollegeLon being represented on Question Time tonight! twitter.com/bbcquestiontim…
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Bobby Duffy
@BobbyDuffyKings
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17. Jan. |
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thank you David, really appreciate it
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Martin Cooper
@mpc_1968
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12. Jan. |
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1/ Here's the opening of Caroline Lucas's address. 'Many ppl took the question that they were being asked, to mean, should the country go on being run in the way that it is, & they voted 'No' with a collective howl of rage & that response was justified then & is justified now.' pic.twitter.com/uSqwg7g5zL
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Ben Marshall
@BenM_IM
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11. Jan. |
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1/2 NEW @IpsosMORI on prospects for this year: 75% of Brits think it very/fairly likely we'll leave the EU, 17% think it very/fairly UNlikely | Remainers and Leavers are both sure we will | #Brexit ipsos.com/ipsos-mori/en-… pic.twitter.com/MFuf5p0EeF
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The Strand Group
@thestrandgroup
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10. Jan. |
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Our Director @JonDavis73 & Visiting Prof @JohnRentoul will launch their new @OUPAcademic book 'Heroes or Villains?: The Blair Government Reconsidered', based on their long running teaching module, at 18.30 on 5 March at @KingsCollegeLon - tickets:
thestrandgroup.kcl.ac.uk/event/heroes-o…
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The Strand Group
@thestrandgroup
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9. Jan. |
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Happy New Year! Here's our events review for 2018 featuring transcripts, videos and media coverage of lectures from Sir John Major, Tony Blair & many others:
sway.office.com/yKYNR6Tmumc27E…
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Bobby Duffy
@BobbyDuffyKings
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9. Jan. |
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Ok, see you in 2025, will bring you a tea, if we still have tea
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UK in a Changing EU
@UKandEU
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9. Jan. |
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What will happen if there's a no deal Brexit? Conservative MPs expect:
•no long queues at ports
•no drop in house prices
•no medical shortages
•no flight cancellations
•BUT a significant drop in the £
Our latest polling of MPs with @MileEndInst: thetimes.co.uk/article/what-m… pic.twitter.com/ymKPFrJlkX
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Bobby Duffy
@BobbyDuffyKings
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8. Jan. |
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Thanks v much Jan
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Bobby Duffy
@BobbyDuffyKings
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7. Jan. |
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Yes agree - cover this/ the v useful Dan ariely study in the book. That’s one of reasons why asking “should” alongside guess really important
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Bobby Duffy
@BobbyDuffyKings
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7. Jan. |
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you're not alone in that - if see full piece shows that 1 in 5 people in Britain think that 1% should have 1%, the highest % saying that from all countries in study... more in the book on Perils of Perception... atlantic-books.co.uk/book/the-peril…
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Bobby Duffy
@BobbyDuffyKings
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7. Jan. |
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thanks for sharing Helen, and for q Matt. I interpret this as still a call to reduce inequality: ie people guess 1% own 2x what they actually do, but say they should own closer to the reality - therefore conc shd be 1% shd own around half of what they do - paras here... pic.twitter.com/V7gcMZVJSb
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The Policy Institute
@policyatkings
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7. Jan. |
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Britons are overwhelmingly swayed by myths about immigration – these are the five facts we often get wrong.
@BobbyDuffyKings writes for @Independent ind.pn/2M01nMZ
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Bobby Duffy
@BobbyDuffyKings
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6. Jan. |
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Thank you! Pun excused
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Bobby Duffy
@BobbyDuffyKings
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5. Jan. |
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So I think there are some who get it wrong for reason you suggest, but bigger effects will be hedging and emotional innumeracy.
All this, and more, in the Perils of Perception book, an absolute bargain in Jan sales... 4/4
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Bobby Duffy
@BobbyDuffyKings
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5. Jan. |
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…but this doesn’t explain all of our error, because these are not neutral judgements: people who are more worried about immigration go higher – the emotional innumeracy bit: we overestimate what we're worried about as much as the other way round pic.twitter.com/cmzHCpK01T
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Bobby Duffy
@BobbyDuffyKings
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5. Jan. |
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…suggests these are not thoughtful calculations/additions of distinct populations. Think bigger effect is ‘hedging’ to middle (50%) that psychophysics suggests we do when we're uncertain: do same with light/heat/weight pic.twitter.com/c6pZaeQMR5
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Bobby Duffy
@BobbyDuffyKings
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5. Jan. |
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It will be for some - but think minor compared to other explanations, for number of reasons:
- q specifies foreign born, most people aware there are people of colour born here
- q for @RoyalStatSoc shows people think 30% are Black/Asian alone when it is/was 11%... (1 of X...) pic.twitter.com/vYY3Z0TcGC
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Bobby Duffy
@BobbyDuffyKings
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4. Jan. |
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What Britons get wrong about immigration – and why politicians need to tell them the truth - based on research by @policyatkings @UKandEU and @IpsosMORI theconversation.com/what-britons-g… via @ConversationUK
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