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Deformation data up to December 30, 2024, indicates that magma accumulation beneath Svartsengi continues. The likelihood of a new magma intrusion and potentially an eruption is expected to increase when the volume of magma beneath Svartsengi matches the amount that left the magma region during the magma intrusion and eruption on November 20. Geodetic model results estimate this volume to be between 12 and 15 million cubic meters. Therefore, the likelihood of magma intrusion and potentially an eruption along the Sundhnúkur crater row may increase as of late January.

A photogrammetric survey was conducted by Icelandic Institute of Natural History and Landmælingar Íslands in a flight over the eruption site 13 December. The data reveals that the lava field that was formed during the last eruption (20 November to 9 December) had a total volume of 49,3 million cubic meters erupted and covered an area of 9,0 square kilometers. The thickest part of the lava field was around the craters and close to the barriers by the Blue Lagoon but the average thickness of the lava was 5,5 meters.

Updated 19. November at 14:45 UTC

Seismic activity in the Sundhnúkar crater row remains relatively low. A few earthquakes have been recorded daily, most of them located between Stóra-Skógfell and Sýlingarfell. On some days in the past week, bad weather has affected the sensitivity of the seismic monitoring system, potentially obstructing the detection of the smallest earthquakes.

Continued greenhouse gas emissions increase global warming, but could trigger a regional cooling around the North Atlantic. In an open letter released today at the Arctic Circle conference in Reykjavík, Iceland, 44 leading experts on ocean circulation and tipping points from 15 countries appeal to the Nordic Council of Ministers to take this risk seriously, initiate a risk assessment and take steps to minimize this risk as much as possible.

The National Meteorological Institutes of Iceland, Denmark, Ireland and the Netherlands have joined forces to respond to climate change with more timely weather forecasting on a new, now operational, common supercomputer. This helps prepare each nation for the impacts of weather patterns, which are expected to become more extreme and more challenging to forecast.