Eli Mintz

@VixCentral

Volatilty mean reverts but contango losses are forever...

ಜೂನ್ 2012 ಸಮಯದಲ್ಲಿ ಸೇರಿದ್ದಾರೆ

ಟ್ವೀಟ್‌ಗಳು

ನೀವು @VixCentral ಅವರನ್ನು ತಡೆಹಿಡಿದಿರುವಿರಿ

ಈ ಟ್ವೀಟ್‌ಗಳನ್ನು ವೀಕ್ಷಿಸಲು ನೀವು ಖಚಿತವಾಗಿ ಬಯಸುವಿರಾ? ಟ್ವೀಟ್ ವೀಕ್ಷಣೆಯು @VixCentral ಅವರ ತಡೆತೆರವುಗೊಳಿಸುವುದಿಲ್ಲ

  1. 18 ಗಂಟೆಗಳ ಹಿಂದೆ

    July 19: futures contango settled at 10.41% Contango costs are high for long term and holders

  2. 19 ಗಂಟೆಗಳ ಹಿಂದೆ

    The 7% roll yield for the first weekly does not seem so high if we view not as 9.7 but as 9.7 + or - 5%

  3. 20 ಗಂಟೆಗಳ ಹಿಂದೆ
  4. 20 ಗಂಟೆಗಳ ಹಿಂದೆ

    I hope that not too many people are holding on to and positions hoping to recuperate losses.

  5. 23 ಗಂಟೆಗಳ ಹಿಂದೆ

    We are living in historical times. BUT, always remember to look at the October 2008 curves for perspective.

  6. ಜುಲೈ 19

    In contrast, the futures bid ask spread is tighter, below 5%. To me, this suggests that the spot follows the futures. Yes, heresy.

  7. ಜುಲೈ 19

    I suggest looking at the as a range, especially on the low end and in light of how settlement diverges from trading like today 4/x

  8. ಜುಲೈ 19

    That is a 0.92 difference on a print of 9.73 and in percent translates to 9.46%. So let's not get hang up on a single number 3/

  9. ಜುಲೈ 19

    The bid is disseminated as and is currently 9.26. The ask is disseminated as and is at 10.18 2/

  10. ಜುಲೈ 19

    The print is one number, but there is a bid ask spread based on computing the underlying option's bid and ask 1/

  11. ಜುಲೈ 18

    July 18: futures contango settled at 16.30% Contango costs are high for long term and holders Back to around 10% tomorrow

  12. ಜುಲೈ 18

    Since futures are a zero sum game, it is not clear to me what it means that the short vol trade is crowded. Same crowd on both sides

  13. ಜುಲೈ 18

    Contango is above average both for F2-F1 and F7-F4. Hedging using futures still expensive despite historically low level of futures

  14. ಜುಲೈ 18
  15. ಜುಲೈ 18

    "If you cannot see the VIX futures curve in your head, burning $100 bills is probably more profitable than trading them." h/t

  16. ಜುಲೈ 18

    "If you cannot see the VIX futures curve in your head burning $100 bills is more profitable than trading them"

  17. ಜುಲೈ 18

    To be clear, I was joking about reverse splitting the

  18. ಜುಲೈ 18

    No corporate tax cuts should hurt stocks but also weakens dollar which helps stocks. Re-upping the suggestion to reverse split

  19. ಜುಲೈ 18

    Thought experiment: Say we had a future that expires at 4:15 today. What would the roll yield be? For morning expiration it is ~ 3%

  20. ಜುಲೈ 18

    Contango between first two futures is indicated to be about 9% after expiration tomorrow. High because Aug future historically lower

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