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	Aaron Stein @aaronstein1	ಡಿಸೆಂ 15
	ಇವರಿಗೆ ಪ್ರತಿಕ್ರಿಯಿಸಲಾಗುತ್ತಿದೆ @NicholasAHeras @ACmideast Thanks buddy
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	Aaron Stein @aaronstein1	ಡಿಸೆಂ 15
	ಇವರಿಗೆ ಪ್ರತಿಕ್ರಿಯಿಸಲಾಗುತ್ತಿದೆ @LizSly @ACmideast Thanks Liz
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	Aaron Stein @aaronstein1	ಡಿಸೆಂ 14
	ಇವರಿಗೆ ಪ್ರತಿಕ್ರಿಯಿಸಲಾಗುತ್ತಿದೆ @Consultifi @ACmideast Thanks for the kind words
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	Aaron Stein @aaronstein1	ಡಿಸೆಂ 14
	News: Today is my last day @ACmideast. My colleagues are wonderful people and I will miss them. It has been a nice ride. I am taking the next two weeks off of social media (no matter what happens) for the holidays. Professional announcement to come in the new year. Cheers
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	Aaron Stein ಮರುಟ್ವೀಟಿಸಿದ್ದಾರೆ
	Sam Heller @AbuJamajem	ಡಿಸೆಂ 13
	ಇವರಿಗೆ ಪ್ರತಿಕ್ರಿಯಿಸಲಾಗುತ್ತಿದೆ @AbuJamajem 2. This theory of how to defeat ISIS is premised, in turn, on a specific theory of what originally produced ISIS, or at least its latest iteration. It does not comport with my sense of what produced ISIS, which benefited from state collapse and an uncontrolled influx of arms.
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	Aaron Stein @aaronstein1	ಡಿಸೆಂ 13
	ಇವರಿಗೆ ಪ್ರತಿಕ್ರಿಯಿಸಲಾಗುತ್ತಿದೆ @stevenacook It was the first of four right turns
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	Aaron Stein @aaronstein1	ಡಿಸೆಂ 12
	This is excellent twitter.com/AbuJamajem/sta…
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	Aaron Stein @aaronstein1	ಡಿಸೆಂ 12
	ಇವರಿಗೆ ಪ್ರತಿಕ್ರಿಯಿಸಲಾಗುತ್ತಿದೆ @ArianeTabatabai The JCPOA debate has never been about facts. It’s constructed reality from non-specialists
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	Aaron Stein @aaronstein1	ಡಿಸೆಂ 12
	Dusting this off from a few weeks ago :: Turkish Policy in Syria: Divining Intent and Options for the United States atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/menasour…
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	Aaron Stein @aaronstein1	ಡಿಸೆಂ 12
	ಇವರಿಗೆ ಪ್ರತಿಕ್ರಿಯಿಸಲಾಗುತ್ತಿದೆ @progmilitary Didn’t stop the introduction of the AR-15.
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	Aaron Stein @aaronstein1	ಡಿಸೆಂ 12
	ಇವರಿಗೆ ಪ್ರತಿಕ್ರಿಯಿಸಲಾಗುತ್ತಿದೆ @fcyazgan You should invite me back so we can argue over tea, like the good old days.
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	Aaron Stein @aaronstein1	ಡಿಸೆಂ 12
	ಇವರಿಗೆ ಪ್ರತಿಕ್ರಿಯಿಸಲಾಗುತ್ತಿದೆ @aaronstein1 Amount of effort to do simple things in the US-TR relationship is tremendous. An op E Of the river isn’t simple. At times like these, I take great comfort knowing that diplomacy is in such good hands, and that the leaders in DC and Ankara are level headed & understand one another
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	Aaron Stein @aaronstein1	ಡಿಸೆಂ 12
	ಇವರಿಗೆ ಪ್ರತಿಕ್ರಿಯಿಸಲಾಗುತ್ತಿದೆ @aaronstein1 I really hope the USG takes this very serious warning and learns to simply listen to RTE when he speaks, understand that his threats — while political — stem from a deep sense of insecurity that goes above politics, and won’t be solved unless the USG answers what it wants from TR
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	Aaron Stein @aaronstein1	ಡಿಸೆಂ 12
	ಇವರಿಗೆ ಪ್ರತಿಕ್ರಿಯಿಸಲಾಗುತ್ತಿದೆ @aaronstein1 The US has never answered what it wants from TR, other than to frame it in terms of things that TR should not actually do to begin with, like shoot at American soldiers. So the default outcome is a fractured policy debate, leading to bifurcated policy of appeasement+deterrence
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	Aaron Stein @aaronstein1	ಡಿಸೆಂ 12
	ಇವರಿಗೆ ಪ್ರತಿಕ್ರಿಯಿಸಲಾಗುತ್ತಿದೆ @aaronstein1 Amid these talks, beginning sometime in November, it became clear that TR was serious about E. of the river, leading to the OPs. Lesson: Even when you have fwd progress on roadmap, TR will keep up incredible pressure to do more.
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	Aaron Stein @aaronstein1	ಡಿಸೆಂ 12
	ಇವರಿಗೆ ಪ್ರತಿಕ್ರಿಯಿಸಲಾಗುತ್ತಿದೆ @aaronstein1 The backdrop, of course, is quasi progress on the roadmap, starting with the start of the initial vetting process (good luck w/ that) & the Turkish written statement from the latest WG that references E. of the river.
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	Aaron Stein @aaronstein1	ಡಿಸೆಂ 12
	ಇವರಿಗೆ ಪ್ರತಿಕ್ರಿಯಿಸಲಾಗುತ್ತಿದೆ @aaronstein1 One component of this is to put significant military/military pressure on the US to make concession to TR for a buffer zone, extending some 15-20km deep to push YPG off the border. This makes sense from a TR perspective.
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	Aaron Stein @aaronstein1	ಡಿಸೆಂ 12
	ಇವರಿಗೆ ಪ್ರತಿಕ್ರಿಯಿಸಲಾಗುತ್ತಿದೆ @aaronstein1 Id even extend this to the lie we’ve told ourselves about Idlib & the (in)famous POTUS tweet that some think actually mattered. TR and RU made a political decision in Idlib. It may fail, but what TR wants is to work through RU to ensure no decentralization of Syria
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	Aaron Stein @aaronstein1	ಡಿಸೆಂ 12
	ಇವರಿಗೆ ಪ್ರತಿಕ್ರಿಯಿಸಲಾಗುತ್ತಿದೆ @aaronstein1 And I really, truly hope that senior US officials can drop the mantra that the US presence in E. Syria is in Turkish interests and that USG issue is with how to message to the Turks. That spin on the house of cards we’ve built is just nonsense.
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	Aaron Stein @aaronstein1	ಡಿಸೆಂ 12
	Id challenge assumptions about what the TR op E. of the river will look like. Obviously I have no real clue, but I don’t think it will look like OOB or OES. Id think smaller, given the US and Assad presence. But even a small op can then be turned into leverage w/ DC
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