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Hans Kristensen
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nukestrat
Washington, D.C.
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Director, Nuclear Information Project,
Federation of American Scientists.
Write Nuclear Notebook and SIPRI world nuclear forces overview.
Opinions are my own.
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Hans Kristensen
@nukestrat
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2 ಗಂ. |
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Senate staffer: “I’m not sure that people still understand what the nuclear deterrent is. There’s been a lot of turnover on Capitol Hill the last 10 years. A lot of turnover in this town.” defensenews.com/smr/nuclear-ar…
Yet lawmakers making decisions about massive nuke modernization.
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Hans Kristensen
@nukestrat
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2 ಗಂ. |
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Concept is as old as the post-Cold War era and even pre-dates STRATCOM. The last Strategic Air Command force structure study called it Twin Triad: two legs of ICBM/SLBMs doing day-to-day deterrence, backed up by de-alerted bombers that can be re-armed nukestrat.com/us/stratcom/ph…
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Hans Kristensen
@nukestrat
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2 ಗಂ. |
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Honored to provide opening chapter in the second edition of James Doyle’s *Nuclear Safeguards, Security, and Nonproliferation* Impressive list of contributors from labs, agencies, NGOs elsevier.com/books/nuclear-… pic.twitter.com/0wUVfthpRY
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Hans Kristensen
@nukestrat
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3 ಗಂ. |
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Richard Burt and @JBWolfsthal: “Arms Race 2.0 is arguably more dangerous in an era characterized by cyber-enhanced information warfare and the introduction of advanced capabilities by both countries that could undermine strategic stability.” the-security-times.com/scrapping-inf-…
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Hans Kristensen
@nukestrat
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3 ಗಂ. |
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On JCPOA, the Trump adninistration is the “rogue,” not Iran. US should work with Allies and Russia/China to maintain JCPOA, not sabotage the best available tool for preventing Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons. washingtonpost.com/world/national…
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| Hans Kristensen ಮರುಟ್ವೀಟಿಸಿದ್ದಾರೆ | ||
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Oliver Meier
@meier_oliver
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4 ಗಂ. |
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Der #NATO-Doppelbeschluss sollte kein Vorbild für die Reaktion des Westens auf die #INF-Vertragskündigung seiin habe ich @wdr5 im Interview gesagt. Audio hier: is.gd/oka35Pv
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Hans Kristensen
@nukestrat
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6 ಗಂ. |
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True. Remember when “East of Urals” was suggested as solution after Strategic Concept/DDPR asking Russia to move tac nukes back from NATO borders, the issue of Asian security immediately became an issue.
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Hans Kristensen
@nukestrat
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10 ಗಂ. |
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Also, why does SSC-8 shorten decision time when it’s no faster than Kalibr or Iskander?
I’m concerned about both developments, but puzzled why one lowers threshold if the other does not. I mean, a low-yield W76-2 on a Trident SLBM will get on target a lot faster than SSC-8. 2/2
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Hans Kristensen
@nukestrat
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10 ಗಂ. |
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SSC-8s “are mobile, they are hard to detect, they will reduce the warning time and therefore they reduce the threshold for any potential use of nuclear weapons in armed conflict.” nato.int/cps/en/natohq/…
How come SSC-8 lowers threshold but US W76-2/SLCM increase threshold? 2/1
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Hans Kristensen
@nukestrat
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11 ಗಂ. |
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I’m saying if Putin was worried about a NATO threat five years ago, then his actions have stimulated a development that has increased the military capabilities of NATO. That seems to be a failed defense strategy on his part.
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Hans Kristensen
@nukestrat
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11 ಗಂ. |
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NATO’s @jensstoltenberg: “the European Allies and Canada will add 100 billion extra US dollars for defence spending from 2016, by the end of 2020.” nato.int/cps/en/natohq/…
Great work Putin. Making Russia Safer Again.
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Hans Kristensen
@nukestrat
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18 ಗಂ. |
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The NPR says at least 80. But STRATCOM and NNSA still have to show how they get to that number of pits. twitter.com/nnsanews/statu…
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Hans Kristensen
@nukestrat
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23 ಗಂ. |
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Hans Kristensen
@nukestrat
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ಫೆಬ್ರವರಿ 13 |
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Smart energy planning in Morocco: “Alongside hydro and wind, the [new solar] plant will help provide nearly half of Morocco’s electricity from renewables by 2020...”
Imagine if US government would prioritize building such plants across its southern and central states. twitter.com/khanoisseur/st…
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Hans Kristensen
@nukestrat
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ಫೆಬ್ರವರಿ 13 |
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Interesting thread by @JBWolfsthal on op-ed by former Obama adm official Victoria Nuland INF debacle and potential response options. 👇 twitter.com/jbwolfsthal/st…
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Hans Kristensen
@nukestrat
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ಫೆಬ್ರವರಿ 13 |
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Yep, but it will take some time. The SS-21 was still exercised in Sep 2018 function.mil.ru/news_page/coun…
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Hans Kristensen
@nukestrat
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ಫೆಬ್ರವರಿ 13 |
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Perhaps they use same loader with only 2 missiles. Would help explain why US intel estimate is 100 missiles and not 128: 4 btl x 4 TEL x 4 canister = 64 missiles + reloads (4 btl x 4 TEL x 2 reload missiles = 32) adds up to 96.
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Hans Kristensen
@nukestrat
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ಫೆಬ್ರವರಿ 13 |
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Don’t think so. The missile compartment is not high enough.
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Hans Kristensen
@nukestrat
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ಫೆಬ್ರವರಿ 13 |
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Roughly fits what I have, except Kursk hasn’t upgraded to Iskander yet.
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Hans Kristensen
@nukestrat
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ಫೆಬ್ರವರಿ 13 |
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This official is also advocate of nuke SLCM. But don’t think this is warheads vs delivery system issue (who cares about fancy warhead if delivery system can’t get it to the target). Depending on constituency, officials/agencies/labs are pushing all of the above. Let’s see budget!
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