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@NateSilver538 ತಡೆಹಿಡಿಯಲಾಗಿದೆ
ನೀವು ಖಚಿತವಾಗಿಯೂ ಈ ಟ್ವೀಟ್ಗಳನ್ನು ನೋಡಲು ಬಯಸುವಿರಾ? ಟ್ವೀಟ್ಗಳನ್ನು ನೋಡುವುದು @NateSilver538 ಅವರನ್ನು ತಡೆತೆರವುಗೊಳಿಸುವುದಿಲ್ಲ.
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Here's what the electoral map would look like if only people who weren't burnt to a crisp in the nuclear holocaust voted.pic.twitter.com/MsrkuOjZWi
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Oh my God. Trump has been planning to team up with Russians on nukes against others since 1987. Found old interview. http://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/the_spectator/2016/03/trump_s_nuclear_experience_advice_for_reagan_in_1987.html …pic.twitter.com/Bjp0yj7sbR
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Our who-will-wield-the-most-political-power-in-2017 draft. Trump whisperers prominently featured.https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-most-powerful-political-players-of-2017-draft-extravaganza/ …
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These were the same voters being re-surveyed, so data suggests Trump win wasn't "baked in" -- something changed at the end of the campaign.
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Overall, it shows a ~4 point net shift to Trump from Oct. 24 onward (Fiesta del Comey began Oct. 28) between switchers & late-deciders.
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Here's more evidence, from a panel survey, of a late shift to Trump during final 2 weeks of campaign. http://53eig.ht/2h8fxz8 pic.twitter.com/bVMa7gFioq
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More evidence of a late swing towards Trump: https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/voters-really-did-switch-to-trump-at-the-last-minute/ …pic.twitter.com/L5OE9o1Q6S
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7 candidates received at least 1 electoral vote, which looks like the most since 1796.https://twitter.com/Marshall_Cohen/status/811008909880229888 …
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Here you have it. Closing thoughts on 2016. (Note: we've still got a couple special episodes next week & week after)https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/politics-podcast-looking-back-on-2016/ …
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The Electoral College has become another partisan issue -- even more so than it was in 2000 https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-electoral-college-has-become-another-partisan-issue/ …pic.twitter.com/WE7PIPEtFL
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These weren't just after-the-fact protest votes, either. Some WA electors refused ahead of time to vote for Clinton.http://apne.ws/2en6OmB
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There are some not-too-distant alternate realities where these 4 votes would have cost Clinton the Electoral College.https://twitter.com/Edpilkington/status/810943044161851397 …
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Democrats might also recall how quickly Republicans stymied Obama's agenda in 2010. And Obama had *much* wider majorities than Trump.
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Democrats have a lot of opportunity in 2018 against a possibly-very-unpopular President Trump. But they lack a deep roster of candidates.
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I think the talk of flipping electors is a bad idea on its own. But also a bad use of Democrats' energy.http://53eig.ht/2gSBehI
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Data was clear that white noncollege voters were overrepresented in swing states, helping Trump in EC. Narrative-driven coverage ignored it.
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A lot of the flaws in campaign coverage this year boiled down to inattention to or indifference toward facts and details like these.
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Lots of media folk continue to ignore that Clinton would still have lost the Electoral College if she'd won WI & MI (also needed PA or FL).
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The last 10 weeks of 2016 campaign stops in one handy gif: http://53eig.ht/2gSPY3s pic.twitter.com/nYGulLESwN
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