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	Nicholas Miller @Nick_L_Miller	17小时
	The Trump administration now apparently realizes that the "maximum pressure" campaign against Iran isn't working. al-monitor.com/pulse/original… I explained why it wouldn't work back in August: washingtonpost.com/news/monkey-ca…
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	Nicholas Miller @Nick_L_Miller	18小时
	回复 @EmilyBLandau I do agree the IAEA should investigate the info from the archive and determine what it needs to inspect. Do you agree that we should wait for more evidence before claiming Iran has an active nuclear weapons program?
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	Nicholas Miller @Nick_L_Miller	18小时
	回复 @EmilyBLandau Literally the only point I'm trying to make is that Bolton shouldn't claim Iran has an active nuclear weapons program if there's no evidence of it. Unlike you, I'm not going to assume Iran is cheating because they did in the past. I'll wait for the evidence, thanks.
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	Nicholas Miller @Nick_L_Miller	18小时
	回复 @EmilyBLandau I support the IAEA inspecting anything it deems suspicious. What I don't support are claims about an active weapons program that have no evidence behind them. The IAEA and US intel community have consistently said Iran is in compliance with JCPOA, which forbids weapons activity
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	Nicholas Miller @Nick_L_Miller	18小时
	回复 @EmilyBLandau I'm talking about Bolton's claims that Iran maintains "nuclear ambitions" and is "strategically committed to achieving deliverable nuclear weapons." Nothing in the so-called Atomic Archive establishes a current intention to develop the bomb.
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	Nicholas Miller @Nick_L_Miller	19小时
	Apparently when I ask for evidence to support Bolton's claim that Iran is actively seeking nuclear weapons, I "defend and protect the horrific Iranian regime." I prefer to think of it as trying to prevent false intel from being used to start another war in the Middle East. YMMV twitter.com/EmilyBLandau/s…
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	Nicholas Miller 转推了
	Vipin Narang @NarangVipin	1月17日
	1/ Why are so many nuclear folks keyed up about the Missile Defense Review? Missile defenses are just defensive right? Who could argue with that? Well, it’s not that straightforward. Missile defenses have long been pursued to support offensive counterforce strategies. Example 👇🏽
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	Nicholas Miller @Nick_L_Miller	1月17日
	回复 @StrickerNonpro So as long as Bolton doesn't provide evidence to back up his claims, there will be no comment/analysis? That seems a little problematic.
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	Nicholas Miller @Nick_L_Miller	1月17日
	回复 @StrickerNonpro How about this one, from ten days ago: "we have little doubt that Iran's leadership is still strategically committed to achieving deliverable nuclear weapons." politico.com/story/2019/01/… With that context, it's pretty clear what he means by "nuclear ambitions."
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	Nicholas Miller @Nick_L_Miller	1月17日
	回复 @StrickerNonpro Your organization had no problem questioning the claims of the Obama administration and even the W. Bush administration on Iraq’s nuclear program. Now you’re deferential to Bolton’s claims of an active Iranian weapons program, which have no evidence behind them. Why?
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	Nicholas Miller @Nick_L_Miller	1月17日
	回复 @shifrinson @mark_s_bell 及另外 3 其他 Don't forget our magical time on the USS John Stennis
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	Nicholas Miller @Nick_L_Miller	1月16日
	回复 @StrickerNonpro I agree the IAEA should investigate anything it deems suspicious. What I don't get is why your organization is silent when Bolton makes far stronger claims about Iran's nuclear intentions than your reports can support. You don't seem to mind that he's using them irresponsibly.
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	Nicholas Miller @Nick_L_Miller	1月16日
	回复 @AliAhmadi_Iran Yep, that's right. But Bolton made a much more explicit claim recently, so we know what he means: defenseone.com/ideas/2019/01/…
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	Nicholas Miller @Nick_L_Miller	1月16日
	回复 @TheGoodISIS Ok, but is that the same as saying a county has active nuclear ambitions? Also, now that I have your attention, would you care to comment on Bolton’s claim that Iran is “strategically committed to achieving deliverable nuclear weapons?”
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	Nicholas Miller @Nick_L_Miller	1月16日
	回复 @Cirincione Also see @Cirincione's thread on the issue of Iranian intent: twitter.com/Cirincione/sta…
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	Nicholas Miller @Nick_L_Miller	1月16日
	回复 @PaperMissiles I agree it would be nice if there was no enrichment or ballistic missiles in Iran. I just don’t see it as feasible.
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	Nicholas Miller @Nick_L_Miller	1月16日
	回复 @PaperMissiles I apologize if I offended you. I struggle to see how my tone was any harsher than yours.
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	Nicholas Miller @Nick_L_Miller	1月16日
	回复 @Nick_L_Miller Also, even if you think Iran does want nuclear weapons, the JCPOA is a good idea: twitter.com/NarangVipin/st…
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	Nicholas Miller @Nick_L_Miller	1月16日
	回复 @PaperMissiles I think you're sophisticated enough to understand that some countries view it as desirable to have a latent nuclear capability. That doesn't mean they're ultimately going to build a nuclear weapon.
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	Nicholas Miller @Nick_L_Miller	1月16日
	回复 @PaperMissiles You seem to be conflating technical capabilities with ultimate intent. Our own IC has been saying for years that it's unclear what their ultimate aim is.
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