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Kyle Kondik
Managing Editor, Sabato's Crystal Ball, UVA Center for Politics. Author of The Bellwether: Why Ohio Picks the President (Ohio U Press)
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Kyle Kondik ретвітнув(ла)
Mike Gousha 21 хв
This morning on : the controversy over what GOP lawmakers may do before takes office. I'll talk with and . Plus, on WI's role in the 2020 presidential election. Watch us at 9 on , 9:30 on & , and 10 on
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Kyle Kondik ретвітнув(ла)
Simone Pathe 12 год
With the defeat of Young Kim in , looks like 's is now officially the only new GOP woman coming to the House.
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Kyle Kondik ретвітнув(ла)
Mike Gousha 22 год
Sunday morning on : the controversy over what GOP lawmakers may do before takes office. I'll talk with and . Plus, on WI's role in the 2020 presidential election.
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Kyle Kondik ретвітнув(ла)
Amy Gardner 16 лист.
This stunning nugget just in from the Florida Secretary of State's office: 62,257 undervotes in the Senate race. That's the number of voters who skipped that race on their ballots. Ballot design? Meh candidates? Weird and difference-making.
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Kyle Kondik ретвітнув(ла)
Nate Silver 16 лист.
Gotta wonder what role the SALT cap played here, with Republican losses being especially heavy in NY, NJ and CA.
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Kyle Kondik ретвітнув(ла)
Michael McDonald 16 лист.
Turnout update: Now at estimated 116.2 million votes cast in the 2018 general election or a turnout rate of 49.3%. This is the highest midterm turnout rate since 1914's 50.4% and the first midterm election to top 100 million votes
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Kyle Kondik ретвітнув(ла)
Mike Gousha 16 лист.
Sunday morning on : will GOP lawmakers change the date of Wisconsin's presidential primary? I'll talk with and . Plus, the latest on the incentive deal, and on WI's role in the 2020 presidential race.
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Kyle Kondik 16 лист.
this is... not a good argument, whatever one thinks of Pelosi.
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Kyle Kondik ретвітнув(ла)
Michael McDonald 16 лист.
У відповідь @ElectProject
The poor Broward ballot design appears to have affected both parties. It may have actually disadvantaged Scott because Nelson got 69% of the Broward vote, but the comparison of Gov and Senate candidate votes breaks evenly
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Kyle Kondik ретвітнув(ла)
Sean T at RCP 16 лист.
My two cents on the “was it a wave” debate.
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Kyle Kondik 16 лист.
Van Drew’s (D) victory over a total zero opponent wasn’t that great in NJ-2, where LoBiondo (R) is retiring
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Kyle Kondik 16 лист.
У відповідь @Barnes_Law
probably not the difference between winning and losing the House, but possibly the difference between, say, 30 seats and whatever the final number is (close to 40, anyway).
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Kyle Kondik ретвітнув(ла)
Steve Schale 16 лист.
У відповідь @nbeaudrot @sethdmichaels @kkondik
I don't think it's a permanent shift, but I do think DUVAL has moved from a red county in statewide races, to one that's light red to competitive.
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Kyle Kondik ретвітнув(ла)
Seth D. Michaels 🍁🍂 16 лист.
У відповідь @kkondik
Duval, too
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Kyle Kondik 16 лист.
Was it a Wave? -- good piece from
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Kyle Kondik 16 лист.
У відповідь @BobbyBigWheel
although still far to the right of the state (Tarrant and Maricopa voted very close to statewide average)
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Kyle Kondik 16 лист.
У відповідь @vrdm3131 @EsotericCD
a favorite of mine too
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Kyle Kondik 16 лист.
Of note - two of only a handful of the nation's most populous counties that is open to voting R for president, Tarrant (Ft. Worth) and Maricopa (Phoenix), voted Democratic for Senate this year.
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Kyle Kondik 16 лист.
У відповідь @DanRosenheck
I'd consider RealClearPolitics to be the "straight" polling average, which had McSally +1. But yes the 538 adjustments made the polls almost exactly right
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Kyle Kondik 16 лист.
Sinema's margin in Arizona is up to 2 full percentage points. This is one race where, pre-election, some of my contacts on both sides of the aisle seemed in alignment on where the race was, and they nailed it.
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