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danger

Market Stress Test Signals Danger Ahead

July 17, 2017JonathanMarket Timing, Risk Management, VIX Index, Volatility

One metric of market stress is the VX Ratio, defined as the ratio of the CBOE VVIX Index to the VIX Index. The former measures the volatility of the VIX, or the volatility of volatility.  When markets are very quiet and the VIX Index is low the ratio moves to higher levels. During periods of…

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Protected: Systematic Strategies Fund June 2017

July 9, 2017JonathanHedge Fund Strategies, Hedge Funds, Quantitative Equity Strategy, Systematic Strategies, Systematic Volatility StrategyQuantitative Equity Strategy, Systematic Strategies Fund, Systematic Volatility Strategy

There is no excerpt because this is a protected post.

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Performance

Volatility ETF Trader – June 2017: +15.3%

July 3, 2017JonathanETFs, Hedge Funds, Machine Learning, Systematic Strategies, Systematic Volatility Strategy, VIX Index, Volatility, Volatility ETF StrategyCollective 2, Systematic Strategies Fund, Systematic Volatility Strategy, VIX ETFs, Volatility ETF Trader

The Volatility ETF Trader product is an algorithmic strategy that trades several VIX ETFs using statistical and machine learning algorithms. We offer a version of the strategy on the Collective 2 site (see here for details) that the user can subscribe to for a very modest fee of only $149 per month. The risk-adjusted performance of the Collective 2 version…

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offshore-private-banking

Futures WealthBuilder – June 2017: +4.4%

July 3, 2017JonathanAlgorithmic Trading, Bond Futures, Collective 2, Commodity Futures, eMini Futures, Futures, Machine Learning, Natural Gas Futures, VIX FuturesCollective 2, Futures, Machine Learning, WealthBuilder

The Futures WealthBuilder product is an algorithmic CTA strategy that trades several highly liquid futures contracts using machine learning algorithms.  More details about the strategy are given in this blog post. We offer a version of the strategy on the Collective 2 site (see here for details) that the user can subscribe to for a very modest fee of only…

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oil-well

Why Statistical Arbitrage Breaks Down

June 27, 2017JonathanCointegration, Correlation, Dickey-Fuller, Pairs Trading, Phillips-Perron, Spread Trading, Statistical ArbitrageCointegration, CVX, Dickey-Fuller, Oil Stocks, Pairs Trading, Phillips-Perron, Statistical Arbitrage, XOM

An extract from my book, Quantitative Research and Trading, to be published in 2017.  

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life expectancy

Life Expectancy and Economic Wellbeing

June 23, 2017JonathanEconomics, UncategorizedEconomics, GDP, Life Expectancy

Illustrating the power-law relationship between life expectancy and economic wellbeing, as measured by GDP per Capita:      

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So-I-was-thinking-about-something-like-this..-000053700144_small

Systematic Strategies is Hiring

June 7, 2017JonathanCareersCareers, London, Research, Trading

Systematic Strategies is recruiting for its new London office, opening in the summer. We will be hiring experienced quantitative researchers, developers and traders who will be engaged in the research and development of medium frequency strategies in equities, derivatives and foreign exchange.  More details will be posted on our web site in due course. We currently have opportunities…

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Beta Convexity 2

Beta Convexity

May 30, 2017JonathanIndex Fund, Index Replication, Long Only, Portfolio Construction, Russell 3000 Index, Stock Selection, Strategy Development1 commentBeta, Convexity, Down Beta, Dual Beta, Equities, Long Only, Russell 3000 Index, Up Beta

Around a quarter of a century ago I wrote a paper entitled “Equity Convexity” which – to my disappointment – was rejected as incomprehensible by the finance professor who reviewed it.  But perhaps I should not have expected more: novel theories are rarely well received first time around.  I remain convinced the idea has merit and may perhaps…

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Gold

Futures WealthBuilder

May 8, 2017JonathanBond Futures, Collective 2, Commodity Futures, eMini Futures, Futures, Futures WealthBuilder, Machine Learning, Monte Carlo, Natural Gas Futures, VIX FuturesBond Futures, Collective 2, Euro futures, Futures, Gold futures, Machine Learning, Monte Carlo, Natural Gas futures, Oil futures, S&P 500 Futures, WealthBuilder

We are launching a new product, the Futures WealthBuilder,  a CTA system that trades futures contracts in several highly liquid financial and commodity markets, including SP500 EMinis, Euros, VIX, Gold, US Bonds, 10-year and five-year notes, Corn, Natural Gas and Crude Oil.  Each  component strategy uses a variety of machine learning algorithms to detect trends, seasonal effects and…

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algodma

Algorithmic Trading on Collective 2

April 24, 2017JonathanAlgorithmic Trading, Collective 2, Hedge Funds, Systematic Strategies, VIX Index, Volatility, Volatility ETF StrategyAlgorithmic Trading, Collective 2, Hedge Fund Strategies, Systematic Trading, VIX ETFs

Regular readers will recall my mentioning out VIX Futures scalping strategy which we ran on the Collective2 site for a while:     The strategy, while performing very well, proved difficult for subscribers to implement, given the latencies involved in routing orders via the Collective 2 web site.  So we began thinking about slower strategies…

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