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François Heisbourg
Chairman/Président IISS, GCSP conseiller spécial/special adviser FRS
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François Heisbourg એ પુનઃટ્વીટ કરી
Dina Esfandiary 18 કલાક
Not all Iran’s missiles are designed to be nuclear capable. And importantly, effectively prevents from developing the nuclear warhead for such missiles.
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François Heisbourg 7 કલાક
Not so sure. It looks to me as if he's trying to derail a deal-making outcome of which he disapproves. A dangerous game, a 'politique du pire' as the Feench would put it, in which he may enjoy the support of ?
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François Heisbourg એ પુનઃટ્વીટ કરી
Hammer Head 19 સપ્ટે
The Russian military police arrested members of the battalion that shot down the IL-20. This is the 44th Air Defense Division, which is stationed in Latakia. (in Russian)
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François Heisbourg 19 સપ્ટે
Russian President blames misfortune not Israel nor France nor whoever. Russian MOD and the usual twitter-trolls stand corrected
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François Heisbourg 19 સપ્ટે
"Fort Trump": name suggested by Polish president for US base
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François Heisbourg 19 સપ્ટે
The credibility of deterrence lies in the eye of the beholders. Intertwined questions: 1) will Japan & ROK attribute a sufficiently degree of credibility to a post-deal US guarantee & forgo national nuclear hedging? 2) will US still back new guarantee with force presence in ROK?
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François Heisbourg 19 સપ્ટે
I don't expect Kim to let forget that implementation is tied to the 'reciprocal measures' to be taken in the political-strategic arena (the 'War and Peace issues' in the Pyongyang summit). These include removal of US 'nuclear threat' (ie, US extended deterrent)
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Tobias Schneider 18 સપ્ટે
My sense EU will breathe short but genuine sigh of relief at Russo-Turkish deal. US position more complex: Zero-sum ground game means Ankara-Moscow rapproachement implicitly exposes US in NE. No way out of condundrum unless one side folds or US-Turkey reconcile their positions.
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François Heisbourg એ પુનઃટ્વીટ કરી
Elizabeth Tsurkov 17 સપ્ટે
If this Russian-Turkish agreement holds despite potential spoilers (Iranian and Syrian - both jihadists and regime), it will save the lives of thousands of Syrians who would have been killed in a regime-Russian-Iranian offensive on Idlib.
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François Heisbourg 18 સપ્ટે
Words from someone who is in a position to know
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François Heisbourg 18 સપ્ટે
Wondering what this graph looked like in the pre-crisis year of 2006
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Steve Rosenberg 18 સપ્ટે
Syria’s army shot down the Russian Il-20 by mistake with a Soviet-built S-200. But Moscow accuses Israeli jets of provoking the incident by “hiding behind” the Russian plane during air strikes on Syria. Russia, Assad’s ally, can’t publicly blame Damascus. So it blames Israel.
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François Heisbourg 18 સપ્ટે
China's policy in the South China Sea has achieved the'miracle' of drawing in far away military powers -France, UK and now Japan. Beijing appears to have trouble understanding that for others, the international law of the sea in the SCS is a vital interest, not a regional issue.
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Pavel Podvig 18 સપ્ટે
આમને પ્રત્યુતર આપી રહ્યાં છે @nukestrat
It appears that Russian MoD confirms it was a Syrian missile
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Hans Kristensen 18 સપ્ટે
While Russia seems to insinuate downing of its IL-20 surveillance plane had something to do with missile launches from a French frigate, Pentagon says Russian plane was shot down by Syrian air-defense system supplied by Russia.
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Steve Rosenberg 18 સપ્ટે
Russian military plane (Il-20) vanishes from radar off Syrian coast, 14 people on board. Moscow says at that moment Israeli F-16s were attacking Syria & claims it detected missile fire from French frigate. US reports suggest Syrian military may have shot down plane by mistake.
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François Heisbourg 18 સપ્ટે
Ask the Swiss to organise for him an (authorised) visit of the Spiez laboratory which has been helping the OPCW: maybe that'll help. Just a thought
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François Heisbourg 18 સપ્ટે
and the beat goes on...
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François Heisbourg 18 સપ્ટે
The 'Davy Crockett', which bore the dubious distinction of having a combat range shorter than its blast radius. Cold War follies when anything which could be made nuclear was made nuclear
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François Heisbourg 17 સપ્ટે
Sounds as if more mockery and suffering are in store for GRU and the Russian Ministry of Defence
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