Sam Heller

@AbuJamajem

Senior Analyst, Non-State Armed Groups, . Looking at jihadism, one eye still on Syria. Jamajem means ☠️☠️☠️. Contact:

Beirut, Lebanon
ಸೆಪ್ಟೆಂಬರ್ 2011 ಸಮಯದಲ್ಲಿ ಸೇರಿದ್ದಾರೆ

ಟ್ವೀಟ್‌ಗಳು

ನೀವು @AbuJamajem ಅವರನ್ನು ತಡೆಹಿಡಿದಿರುವಿರಿ

ಈ ಟ್ವೀಟ್‌ಗಳನ್ನು ವೀಕ್ಷಿಸಲು ನೀವು ಖಚಿತವಾಗಿ ಬಯಸುವಿರಾ? ಟ್ವೀಟ್ ವೀಕ್ಷಣೆಯು @AbuJamajem ಅವರ ತಡೆತೆರವುಗೊಳಿಸುವುದಿಲ್ಲ

  1. ಪಿನ್ ಮಾಡಿದ ಟ್ವೀಟ್
    ಫೆಬ್ರವರಿ 12

    New today: One more contribution (written pre-), in which colleague and I debate reconstruction, humanitarian aid, and the outlook for Western Syria policy.

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  2. ಅವರು ಮರುಟ್ವೀಟಿಸಿದ್ದಾರೆ
    5 ಗಂಟೆಗಳ ಹಿಂದೆ

    al-Qaida aligned media activist is not convinced of the HTS arguments used to justify the current infighting with JTS, comparing it to what ISIS used to say before. Similar message has also been repeated by other AQ members/leaders/ideologues.

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  3. ಅವರು ಮರುಟ್ವೀಟಿಸಿದ್ದಾರೆ
    8 ಗಂಟೆಗಳ ಹಿಂದೆ

    Trying to console a young friend in Damascus, distressed by the incessant bombing audible in Eastern Ghouta and by the mortars hitting government-held areas. "Danger is all around us," she says.

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  4. 6 ಗಂಟೆಗಳ ಹಿಂದೆ

    Hayat Tahrir al-Sham religious official al-Zubeir al-Ghazi: Good news, everyone, time to “cleanse.”

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  5. 9 ಗಂಟೆಗಳ ಹಿಂದೆ
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  6. 19 ಗಂಟೆಗಳ ಹಿಂದೆ

    .: Yemeni jihadists are in retreat, but they may be able to make a comeback by tapping into popular resentment and disillusionment with foreign intervention.

    ರದ್ದುಗೊಳಿಸು
  7. ಅವರು ಮರುಟ್ವೀಟಿಸಿದ್ದಾರೆ
    23 ಗಂಟೆಗಳ ಹಿಂದೆ

    Syrian regime-backed forces have been eating away militarily at 's periphery for a while, says

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  8. ಫೆಬ್ರವರಿ 23

    Turkistanis weigh in: TIP denies participating in ongoing clashes, although was obliged to respond defensively to several attacks. Still, TIP is emphatically Team HTS: Defends HTS’s bona fides and vital military role, warns it won’t just stand by if attack on HTS expands.

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  9. ಫೆಬ್ರವರಿ 23

    HTS's Attoun has confirmed that – he says it's a threat not just to HTS, but to those sheikhs and the whole jihadist project – but also cited Zinki's systematic security ops (assassinations) and its expanding foreign contacts, including, he alleges, a project with the Americans.

    ಈ ಥ್ರೆಡ್ ತೋರಿಸಿ
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  10. ಫೆಬ್ರವರಿ 23

    Abu Muhammad al-Sadeq, member of delegation mediating in HTS-Zinki clashes: It's evident from our meetings that HTS's main motivation in fighting Zinki is its fear that Turkey's Olive Branch will link Euphrates Shield to west Aleppo and supercharge Zinki.

    ಈ ಥ್ರೆಡ್ ತೋರಿಸಿ
    ರದ್ದುಗೊಳಿಸು
  11. ಫೆಬ್ರವರಿ 23

    As some analogize the imminent offensive on East Ghouta to the retaking of east Aleppo, see my January 2017 piece on Aleppo’s lessons:

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  12. ಫೆಬ್ರವರಿ 23

    Sorry, should be Nov-Dec '16, oops.

    ಈ ಥ್ರೆಡ್ ತೋರಿಸಿ
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  13. ಅವರು ಮರುಟ್ವೀಟಿಸಿದ್ದಾರೆ
    ಫೆಬ್ರವರಿ 22

    I note that after seven years of fighting over who's to blame for their disunity, the Idleb rebels have whittled themselves down to two main factions called Tahrir al-Sham and Tahrir Souriya, which means the same thing if translated. The world's first Salafi-Borgesian insurgency.

    ಈ ಥ್ರೆಡ್ ತೋರಿಸಿ
    ರದ್ದುಗೊಳಿಸು
  14. ಫೆಬ್ರವರಿ 22

    ., "Homs, Aleppo... after six years Damascene suburb may be next" Includes my thoughts.

    ರದ್ದುಗೊಳಿಸು
  15. ಫೆಬ್ರವರಿ 22

    De Mistura has actually been pretty adept at pivoting and re-engineering the Geneva process on the fly to keep it relevant. But he’s also working with limited means and a mandate that is difficult, arguably impossible.

    ಈ ಥ್ರೆಡ್ ತೋರಿಸಿ
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  16. ಫೆಬ್ರವರಿ 22

    As for why De Mistura welcomed “de-escalation”: He’s presiding over a process that’s mostly stuck, and he has few means himself to pressure anyone to cooperate. So he’s been engaging positively with Russian initiatives in hopes of juicing the process and giving it some momentum.

    ಈ ಥ್ರೆಡ್ ತೋರಿಸಿ
    ರದ್ದುಗೊಳಿಸು
  17. ಫೆಬ್ರವರಿ 22

    Of course, you had some cross-pollination in terms of terminology – seemingly deliberately, as Russia tried to adopt America’s own policy language and involve America in a Russian-led de-escalation model – which muddled the discussion.

    ಈ ಥ್ರೆಡ್ ತೋರಿಸಿ
    ರದ್ದುಗೊಳಿಸು
  18. ಫೆಬ್ರವರಿ 22

    America’s pivot to de-escalation stemmed from a late conviction that continued escalation wasn’t producing any obviously useful ends, so better to try to dial down the fighting and see if that maybe opened up political space, or at least killed less people.

    ಈ ಥ್ರೆಡ್ ತೋರಿಸಿ
    ರದ್ದುಗೊಳಿಸು
  19. ಫೆಬ್ರವರಿ 22

    The U.S. push for “de-escalation” broadly should probably be considered distinct from the four Russian-sponsored de-escalation zones, of which America only brokered and invested in one, purposely outside the Astana framework.

    ಈ ಥ್ರೆಡ್ ತೋರಿಸಿ
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  20. ಫೆಬ್ರವರಿ 22

    Of course, that’s de-escalation in east Ghouta and Homs. The realm of possibilities is different in Idlib and the southwest, the latter of which, in particular, saw a sort of sui generis de-escalation arranged outside the Astana framework.

    ಈ ಥ್ರೆಡ್ ತೋರಿಸಿ
    ರದ್ದುಗೊಳಿಸು
  21. ಫೆಬ್ರವರಿ 22

    The promise of de-escalation (such as it was) was that you’d get to roughly the same place, but less people would die on the way.

    ಈ ಥ್ರೆಡ್ ತೋರಿಸಿ
    ರದ್ದುಗೊಳಿಸು

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