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This year, as every year, I believe AEI scholars are setting the standard for intelligent, civil, and nonpartisan analysis.
We’ve made a lot of economic progress in the last half century thanks to free market capitalism and global competition as this example illustrates — for what a single Sears TV console cost in 1964, the same amount of inflation-adjusted dollars today can buy five modern kitchen appliances and seven state-of-the-art electronics items, including a laptop computer, iPhone, iPod and a 55-inch Samsung Smart HDTV.
The holiday season may be a good time to provide some suggestions for how commentators and citizens can go forward at a time when, even more than usual, narrow margins seem to be producing widely different outcomes.
Hassett and Zhong seek to explain two aspects of betting markets: the tendency for longshots to win less often than odds would indicate and the tendency for favorites to win more often. They present empirical evidence that is consistent with the predicted presence of Knightian uncertainty and that Knightian uncertainty may be not learnable to the traders in prediction markets.
Many worry that Trump’s election is a sign of the apocalypse, but education is one domain where the upheaval is welcome.
Putin is a man driven by a set of beliefs he has consistently articulated for almost a decade, and a set of goals he is now poised to realize — unless Trump understands who he is up against.




