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Use your reflect, your idea is not always working.

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They always wishing Mr. Market will go as same as their idea.

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They are discipline enough.

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EU LEADERS NEAR MIGRATION DEAL.
• According to media, EU leaders seem to be nearing a new deal regarding the migration issue in Europe. The deal could include increased security and strengthening of border patrols, setting up more holding centers, speeding up the process for asylum and overhauling rules for distribution. The overhauling of the rules for distributing migrants could include relief when a receiving country is overwhelmed with inflow of migrants. The latter was a key Italian demand and the overhaul could be interpreted as a win of the new Italian government. On the other hand, the impact of the news on the German political stage remains to be seen. Any reaction of Germany’s minister of Interiors Seehofer, which is an ally of Chancellor Merkel, would be of special interest. It should be noted that deep division remains, between more liberal governments on the issue like Spain and France and conservatives like Hungary. The EUR jumped on the news and we could see it strengthening even further upon additional positive headlines about the issue, especially from Germany.

• During today’s Asian morning, EUR/USD broke the downward trend line incepted since Tuesday and touched the 1.1640 (R1) resistance line. Please note that should the market favor the short USD positions, as it did yesterday, the pair could enter a bullish market. Currently, we share the view that the common currency could strengthen even further, should there be further positive news regarding the migration issue and positive Euro related financial releases later on today. If the pair finds fresh buying orders along its path we could see it breaking the 1.1640 (R1) resistance line and aim for the 1.1715 (R2) resistance hurdle. Should it come under selling interest we could see the pair aiming if not breaching the 1.1550 (S1) support line.

JPY weakens against major counterparts

• A weakening of JPY against a number of its main counterparts was evident during today’s Asian morning. Analysts consider the drop to be caused by the rapid depreciation of the Chinese Yuan. It should be noted that Japanese and S. Korean markets dropped, while on the contrary, Chinese markets such as Hong Kong and Shanghai climbed on the final day of the quarter. Please note that even today’s positive financial data releases, such as the drop of the unemployment rate, were unable to support the Yen. If there is further depreciation of the Yuan we could see the Yen weakening, however Chinese officials may try to stop the Yuan depreciation.

• USD/JPY strengthened yesterday, reflecting the weakening of the Yen and during today’s Asian morning tested the 110.75 (R1) resistance line. We could see the pair continue to trade in a bullish market as the upward trend line incepted since Tuesday, seems to support the pairs direction. Should the bulls continue to be in charge we could see the pair breaking the 110.75 (R1) resistance line and aim for the 111.30 (R2) resistance level. Should the bears take over we could see the pair aiming if not breaking the 110.25 (S1) support line.

In today’s other economic highlights:

• In today’s European session, from Germany we get the Retail Sales growth rate for May, the unemployment data for June and from France the preliminary release of the CPI (EU Normalized) rate for June. Also in the European session we get from the UK the current account balance and the final GDP growth rate, both for quarter 1, while from the Eurozone we get the preliminary CPI rate for June. In the American session we get Canada’s GDP growth rate for April and from the US the personal consumption growth rate for May, the final release of the university of Michigan consumer sentiment indicator for May and last but not least the Baker Hughes Oil Rig count figure. It must be noted that oil prices were seen strengthening during the past week, gaining a positive momentum from the unexpected release of the wide -9 million barrels drawdown marked both by the EIA weekly crude oil inventories, as well as the API weekly crude oil inventories. On another front, please bear in mind that the EU Council summit is entering its second day and could create volatility for EUR and GBP crosses.

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