The 2016 Race
No Debate That Hillary Clinton’s Polling Numbers Are Improving
The durability of her post-debate bump is another matter.
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The durability of her post-debate bump is another matter.
By NATE COHN
The Upshot’s presidential forecast, updated daily.
By JOSH KATZ
An analysis of financial markets during the debate last Monday suggests stocks would lose 10 to 12 percent of their value if Donald Trump won the election.
By JUSTIN WOLFERS
Explore the paths to victory available for the presidential candidates.
The data suggest that about half of them will stay home and that the other half will split similarly to those who have decided already.
By LYNN VAVRECK
Google trends data shows an interesting pattern in registration in the last week, and a former beauty queen could have something to do with it.
By NATE COHN
The Upshot’s Senate election forecast for 2016, updated daily with the latest polls.
By JOSH KATZ
A new study points to a possible link between mistrust of police officers and a community’s reluctance to report crimes.
By QUOCTRUNG BUI
Models are basically compilations of different sources of information like polls, but underlying assumptions influence the outcome greatly.
By JOSH KATZ
In most ways, Medicaid offers an excellent return on investment, but 19 states have refused to participate in the expansion.
By AARON E. CARROLL
A study shows the potential benefits, but if the past is any guide, what’s effective will nonetheless be politically unpalatable.
By AARON E. CARROLL
Plastic coatings applied to the surfaces of teeth aren’t just effective; they’re also cost-effective.
By AUSTIN FRAKT
Favorable customer ratings were correlated with lower mortality for some conditions and with fewer readmissions, but having a choice of providers is important.
By AARON E. CARROLL
Not only do the exchange programs reduce the spread of damaging viral infections, but they also have been shown to save money.
By AUSTIN FRAKT