FiveThirtyEight

Menu

2016 Election

Election Update: Early Polls Suggest A Post-Debate Bounce For Clinton

By

2016 Election

Senate Update: Races For The Senate And White House Are Moving In Near Lockstep

By

Terrorism

Trump Says Profiling Has Protected Israel. It Probably Wouldn’t Work Here.

By

2016 Election

What Could The Polls Be Missing?

A FiveThirtyEight Chat

The Latest

3:48 PM

Election Update: Early Polls Suggest A Post-Debate Bounce For Clinton

3:30 PM

The Voters: Who Is Leaning Republican?

3:26 PM

Trump Says Profiling Has Protected Israel. It Probably Wouldn’t Work Here.

1:52 PM

Senate Update: Races For The Senate And White House Are Moving In Near Lockstep

10:46 AM

Les Miles Wasn’t A Great Coach, But He Was A Great Recruiter

10:20 AM

Consumers Are Feeling Better About The Economy Than Polls Suggest

6:58 AM

Significant Digits For Wednesday, Sept. 28, 2016

6:28 AM

What Could The Polls Be Missing?

All Stories

More stories

Economic Confidence

Consumers Are Feeling Better About The Economy Than Polls Suggest

By

MLB

Baseball Was Way Easier To Predict In 2016 — Except For Fly Balls

By

2016 Election

Clinton Won The Debate, Which Means She’s Likely To Gain In The Polls

By

NFL

The Vikings And Ravens Are In For A Rude Awakening

By

The Voters

Evangelicals, Once Skeptical Of Trump, Have Rallied To His Side

By

2016 Election

Trump And Clinton Sounded As If They Were Talking About Two Different Countries

By

More >

Video

2016 Election

Film: How To Destroy A Presidential Candidate

By

Democratic Convention

A Woman President Wouldn’t Erase Centuries Of Male-Dominated Politics

By

2016 Election

What’s Happening To The Republican Party?

By

More >

Best of FiveThirtyEight

2016 Election

The End Of A Republican Party

Gun Deaths

Gun Deaths In America

Sumo Wrestling

The Sumo Matchup Centuries In The Making

Scientific Method

Science Isn’t Broken

Public Health

What Went Wrong In Flint

Basketball

The Complete History Of The NBA