NOAA/NWS Storm Prediction Center

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An Enhanced Risk of Severe Thunderstorms is Forecast Today and/or Tonight

Severe thunderstorms are likely across much of the central and southern Plains Sunday afternoon and evening. Very large hail and a few tornadoes are anticipated with the primary threat area from central Kansas into northwestern Oklahoma beginning late afternoon.

For additional details, see the latest Day 1 Convective Outlook.

Critical fire weather conditions are forecast today. See details...

Critical fire weather conditions are forecast on Mon (05/09). See details...

SPC Products Overview

Hazard	Sun (05/08)	Mon (05/09)	Tue (05/10)	Wed (05/11)	Thu (05/12)	Fri (05/13)	Sat (05/14)	Sun (05/15)
Severe	Enhanced	Enhanced	Marginal	Severe	No Area	No Area	No Area	No Area
Fire	Critical	Critical	No Area	No Area	No Area	No Area	No Area	No Area

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Severe Weather Climatology (1982-2011)

Any Severe Probabilities: 08 May

Tornado Probabilities: 08 May

Damaging Wind Probabilities: 08 May

Severe Hail Probabilities: 08 May

Significant Tornado Probabilities: 08 May

Significant Wind Probabilities: 08 May

Significant Hail Probabilities: 08 May

More severe weather climatology data here.

Today's Storm Report Trend


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Full-size plot here.

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Page last modified: May 07 2016 12:18 UTC

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Latest SPC Publications

Smith, B.T., R.L. Thompson, A.R. Dean, and P.T. Marsh, 2015: Diagnosing the Conditional Probability of Tornado Damage Rating Using Environmental and Radar Attributes. Published in Weather and Forecasting.
Cohen, A.E., S.M. Cavallo, M.C. Coniglio, and H.E. Brooks, 2015: A Review of Planetary Boundary Layer Parameterization Schemes and Their Sensitivity in Simulating Southeastern U.S. Cold Season Severe Weather Environments. Published in Weather and Forecasting.
Thompson, R.L., B.T. Smith, A. Dean, and P.T. Marsh, 2013: Spatial Distributions of Tornadic Near-Storm Environments by Convective Mode. Published in Electronic Journal of Severe Storms Meteorology.
Garner, J.M., 2013: A Study of Synoptic-Scale Tornado Regimes. Published in Electronic Journal of Severe Storms Meteorology.
Edwards, R., J.G. LaDue, J.T. Ferree, K. Scharfenberg, C. Maier, and W.L. Coulbourne, 2013: Tornado Intensity Estimation: Past, Present and Future. Published in Bulletin of the AMS.
Smith, B.T., T.E. Castellanos, A.C. Winters, C.M. Mead, A.R. Dean, and R.L. Thompson, 2013: Measured Severe Convective Wind Climatology and Associated Convective Modes of Thunderstorms in the Contiguous United States, 2003-09. Published in Weather and Forecasting.
Find more research articles at the SPC publication archive.

Latest SPC Case Archive

May 05, 2016	Tornado: 1	Wind: 5	Hail: 6

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