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While Google Fiber gets a massive amount of media hype (justly based on its disruptive speed and price point), the reality is that despite numerous city "launches" -- not that many people can actually get the service. But while many ISPs and analysts have dismissed Google Fiber as an adorable experiment that will never impact them, many of these folks appear to be changing their tune as Google Fiber's list of under-construction and potential markets continues to grow.

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For example, Bernstein analyst Carlos Kirjner used to think Google Fiber was just a cute experiment designed to ignite a conversation about the lack of broadband competition. But with this week's announcement that Google is considering major metro markets like Los Angeles and Chicago the analyst says he's not so sure any more:
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Although Google’s announcement is just that, could lead to nothing, and requires minimum capital commitment by Alphabet at this stage, it increases on the margin the likelihood that Google Fiber will pass a large number of locations within five years. Correspondingly, it increases the chances that we will see Alphabet’s capex in the non-core businesses, or what the company has referred to as “Other Bets,” increase significantly.

Indeed, if Google Fiber were to build out in Chicago and/or Los Angeles and their surroundings, it could precipitate increased interest from other major metro areas, making it easier for Fiber to scale up. Our high end estimate of 20-25 million homes passed by Google Fiber may prove less aggressive than we thought.


While Google Fiber is estimated to only have around 100,000 customers right now, the amount of work in the pipeline has become borderline massive. On top of existing launches in Provo, Kansas City, and Austin, Google Fiber's busy constructing networks in San Antonio, Atlanta, Nashville, Salt Lake City, Raleigh/Durham, Charlotte, and has announced likely launches in Phoenix, Irvine, Louisville, San Diego, San Jose, and now LA and Chicago.

And unlike many gigabit builds that will only tough high-end developments and university dorms, Google claims to be putting in the heavy lifting to uniformly reach what it claims will be a "significant" number of neighborhoods. Even if those builds only touch 30% of those cities populations, we're still talking about a fiber to the home build that's significantly larger than most analysts (myself included) ever imagined.

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CenturyLink this week again reiterated that it hopes to soon offer an "over the top" Internet video service that the company will begin trialing in 2016. CenturyLink Chief Financial Officer Stewart Ewing has previously stated the company hopes to be able to offer the service for around $20 to $30 a month, though it's too early to determine technical specifics. This week, Ewing proclaimed that the company sees Internet video TV as a way to offer television without the expense of a tech visit.

"As others are doing, we're also looking at an over the top product that we could deliver either some of or all the content we have today," Ewing told attendees of an investment conference this week.

"This is a product that we'll trial in 2016 that we believe we can get to the customer without a truck roll so it could help us decrease the cost of delivering the video to the customer." Ewing added that "OTT does not help on the content cost side, but it does help from the overall standpoint on the cost of deploying the service."

CenturyLink has had an on again, off again relationship with broadband usage caps, in some markets imposing a 150 GB cap on 1.5 Mbps lines, and a 250 GB cap on anything faster. As it stands, users who go over these allotments 3 times in a 12 month rolling period are nudged toward business tiers, but it's not a stretch to imagine CenturyLink embracing overages to better cash in on its looming OTT video efforts.

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T-Mobile continues to dole out Christmas promotions, and this time is taking direct aim at Verizon Wireless. The company today announced that it's giving customers that switch from Verizon Wireless to T-Mobile a free year of Hulu.

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About 20% of current traditional cable customers may cut the cord in 2016 according to new research by Price Waterhouse Coopers (PWC). The continued trend rises as consumers increasingly find themselves frustrated by the steep price tag and inflexibility of traditional cable options, notes the firm.

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While DirecTV is likely going to be the first pay TV provider to seriously embrace ultra HD and 4K video, the National Advertising Division (NAD) of the Council of Better Business Bureaus has given the satellite provider a slap on the wrist for what it claims is over-ambitious 4K advertising. You see, while DirecTV does currently offer 4K content on demand, its live 4K channels aren't expected to go live until early next year.

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"AT&T is out-building Google Fiber," the Washington Post crows. AT&T is "outpacing every other competitor" when it comes to fiber to the home, an analyst tells Computer World.

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As Comcast's broadband usage caps now impact about 12% of the company's userbase (and growing), the company oddly continues to deny it even has caps. In fact, Comcast has gone so far as to scold journalists over the last few years, semantically arguing that because users can buy more data, technically they aren't usage capped.

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Add Verizon Wireleess to the list of companies who've decided to start experimenting with "zero rating," or letting some content not count against your wireless broadband usage cap. Verizon Executive Vice President Marni Walden told Recode this week that the company's "sponsored data" program should start in as soon as a few days, though further specifics weren't provided.

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AT&T will soon join Verizon and Comcast in trying to woo Millennials with a new Internet video service. Speaking at an investor conference this week, AT&T CEO Randall Stephenson said AT&T would soon be launching a service that looks a lot like Verizon's Go90 platform, which offers curated, free access to a smattering of online content (much of it already available elsewhere). Facing slowed broadband and smartphone growth, large ISPs are pushing harder into content and advertising.

Stephenson also stated the company is exploring offering a fuller over the top video option in conjunction with DirecTV, but didn't offer any real details or state when that would be launched:
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Stephenson said AT&T is aggressively pursuing rights to offer an OTT bundle of content for people without a satellite TV subscription for a mobile or single home screen, citing 30 million homes without pay TV subscriptions in the U.S. He said the company was "very interested" in such an offer for cost-conscious consumers and would discuss this topic soon. It wasn't immediately clear if that offer would be immediately available.
While a DirecTV/AT&T streaming service might pay dividends, it's unclear whether AT&T's other attempt at a curated mobile video service would net AT&T much traction, Many Millennials can very often nab this content from the source (YouTube, Twitch), without the need for a stodgy old telephone or cable company acting as the middleman.

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