| | | "For many years now, too many scholars on left and right alike have
pretended they live in a Lake Wobegon world where everyone can be above
average. It is time for policy analysts to stop avoiding the reality of
human inequality, a reality that neither equalization of opportunity nor
a freer market will circumvent." So concludes a thin monograph just published by the American Enterprise
Institute under the title Income Inequality and IQ. The author? You guessed
it, Charles Murray, who, along with the late Richard Herrnstein, wrote
the incendiary 1994 bestseller The Bell Curve. Murray is back on messagechastened
perhaps, but unrepentant. While studiously avoiding any claims about the
innate intellectual inferiority of blacks this time around, he is still
preaching his gospel about a social hierarchy based on sheer mental candlepower.
He still claims that inherited human differences dictate disparities of
income so stubborn that we can have a more equal society only if we tolerate
government intrusions that would surely curtail liberty. "No realistic
assessment of our empirical experience," he declares, "can yield
grounds for concluding that our repertoire of social interventions, augmented
with greater funding and energy, may be expected to narrow the national
income inequality statistics." I like that "our"Murray having never met a "social
intervention" he much cared for. But never mind. The fact is that
"our empirical experience" compels no such categorical judgment.
Murray persists in making sweeping claims of the sort that were effectively
rebutted years ago, while ignoring the most serious criticisms of his
earlier work. One cannot imagine his coauthor, Richard Herrnstein, who
had been a respected professor of psychology at Harvard before his untimely
death, behaving in so unscholarly a fashion. Indeed, one wonders whether
Murray, who has never shown mastery of statistical technique in his work
(his gift is exposition), has a sufficient grasp of the methodological
issues involved to engage in an expert discourse. Certainly, Income Inequality and IQ does nothing to dispel this suspicion.
The monograph uses a subsample of the National Longitudinal Survey of
Youth, consisting of matched pairs of siblings raised in the same households.
The survey looks, first, at how these siblings fared on cognitive skills
tests that they took when they were in their late adolescence. It then
looks at how those siblings do in their late 20s and early 30sthat
is, how much money they earn, how much education they receive, how much
job prestige they gain. Murray uses these data to establish a causal relationship:
By comparing persons with middling test scores to siblings whose scores
were either much better or much worse, Murray finds that, among youngsters
raised in the same household, those who did better on the cognitive test
were substantially more successful later in life. Ergo, he says, innate
cognitive differences explain inequality. Of course, the story is a lot more complicated than that. Nobody disputes
that people with better mental skills will, on average, perform better
in our society. And, yes, this view is rather more broadly accepted now
than it had been before the appearance of The Bell Curve. But Murray still
hasnt managed to answer the academic communitys chief complaint:
His theory does not adequately account for the role social environment
plays in determining ones lot in life. As you may recall, in The Bell Curve Herrnstein and Murray used an extremely
crude measure of social background, then contrasted its effects with those
of a test of mental skills given to most of the sample in late adolescence.
Murray claims his new study answers this criticism: "The Bell Curves
method of controlling for SES [socioeconomic status] and the sibling method
of controlling for everything in the family background yield interpretations
of the independent role of IQ on income that are substantively indistinguishable,"
he writes. But the test Murray uses, the Armed Forces Qualification Test,
is not an environment-free measure of intelligence, so it does not identify
"the independent role of IQ." Scores on the afqt have been shown
to vary significantly with the quantity and quality of education to which
a young person has been exposed. Moreover, comparing siblings, while helpful, does not come close to "controlling
for everything in the family background." Environments can differ
within families, toobecause of differences in the sex, personality,
or birth order of the children, for example. In any case, Murrays
conclusionthat improving the environments of unrelated children
will do little to reduce inequalityis a non sequitur. Finding a
correlation between intelligence and success within families says nothing
about the extent to which inequality in a population is driven by differences
between families. After all, incomes are much more equal among siblings
than among unrelated individuals, which attests to the equality-enhancing
effects of a common family environment. Variance in IQ explains at most
one-fifth of the variance of incomes; so, most inequality is caused by
other factors. It is by now well-established that, holding ability constant,
more education raises earnings, and well-designed, early childhood interventions
can improve later-life outcomes for disadvantaged youths in a cost-effective
way. But Murray seems utterly unfazed by these results. Several months after The Bell Curve appeared, the University of Chicago
arranged a workshop in which Murray was to face one of his most distinguished
critics, the renowned econometrician James Heckman, in a discussion on
the technical merits of his work. Murray backed out of that engagement.
"I am canceling out of the session," he wrote to the organizer.
"My experience of the last few months leads me to this position....
I will no longer deal with academics in groups." A few weeks later,
Murray appeared at Harvards Kennedy School of Government, before
a rather large group of academics, to debate a nonspecialist under a strictly
regulated format. Murray obviously prefers nonexpert audiences that cant
ask him overly technical questions. Is it any wonder why? |